每 日 早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:海外市场情绪偏弱........................................................................................................................3国债期货:阶段性止盈似有增多....................................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:市场扰动增加盘面整体下行...........................................................................................................5白糖:内外糖价格疲软....................................................................................................................................5油脂板块:地缘有所弱化,警惕油脂高位回落............................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:玉米现货偏弱,玉米期货偏弱震荡...................................................................................7生猪:出栏整体稳定价格震荡运行...............................................................................................................8花生:现货稳定,花生盘面窄幅震荡............................................................................................................9苹果:冰雹影响有限果价震荡走势.............................................................................................................10鸡蛋:现货价格有所回落..............................................................................................................................10棉花-棉纱:基本面变化不大棉价震荡偏弱................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:唐山高炉减产,需求仍然承压..........................................................................................................13双焦:宽幅震荡,波段操作..........................................................................................................................13铁矿:市场预期转弱,矿价偏空对待..........................................................................................................14铁合金:供需压力仍存,低估值有所支撑..................................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:市场加息预期高居不下贵金属震荡运行.....................................................................................16铜:短期宽幅震荡..........................................................................................................................................17氧化铝:供给边际宽松但过剩仍不显著......................................................................................................18电解铝:中东冲突缓和加息预期压力下降.................................................................................................18铸造铝合金:随铝价震荡运行......................................................................................................................19锌:基本面未见明显改善关注宏观因素影响.............................................................................................19铅:维持低位震荡..........................................................................................................................................20镍:中东局势反复,原料隐忧仍存..............................................................................................................21 不锈钢:跟随镍价反弹..................................................................................................................................22工业硅:区间下沿逢低买入..........................................................................................................................23多晶硅:短期震荡,关注价格执法政策可能性..........................................................................................24碳酸锂:现货转强或带动锂价反弹..............................................................................................................24锡:长鑫上市搅动存储格局,美股芯片受挫..............................................................................................25 航运及碳排放 集运:美伊冲突阶段性降温,关注本周以色列访美..................................................................................27干散货运价:货盘稳定支撑Cape维持高位,供给充裕难以提振中小船市场........................................28碳排放:国内碳价持续走高,地区就是缓和但能源短缺仍存..................................................................29 能源化工 原油:中东&黑海供应危机解除油价跳水..................................................................................................31沥青:成本支撑减弱,需求平淡..................................................................................................................31燃料油:关注海峡具体通航情况..................................................................................................................32LPG:地缘缓和短期承压...............................................................................................................................33天然气:美伊停火全品种齐跌......................................................................................................................34PX&PTA:成本回落供需偏紧........................................................................................................................35BZ&EB:地缘缓和成本下跌...........................................................................................................................36乙二醇:霍尔木兹海峡海峡有待恢复..........................................................................................................36短纤:供需双降亏损缩小..................................................