每 日 早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:全球科技股反弹............................................................................................................................3国债期货:债市窄幅波动,等待增量信息....................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:供应影响增加盘面偏强运行...........................................................................................................5白糖:内外糖价格震荡....................................................................................................................................5油脂板块:中东地缘扰动,油脂短期波动增加............................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:玉米现货偏弱,玉米期货偏弱震荡...................................................................................8生猪:供应压力增加价格整体下行...............................................................................................................8花生:现货稳定,花生盘面底部反弹............................................................................................................9苹果:市场缺乏驱动果价震荡走势.............................................................................................................10鸡蛋:现货价格稳定.....................................................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:储备成交尚可棉价有所回落....................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:钢材减产力度加大,需求仍然承压..................................................................................................13双焦:从盈亏比角度考虑,建议关注逢低做多机会..................................................................................13铁矿:供应扰动再起,矿价偏空对待..........................................................................................................14铁合金:供需双降,宽幅震荡......................................................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:市场情绪提振贵金属反弹走强.....................................................................................................16铜:资金情绪回暖,铜价快速反弹..............................................................................................................16氧化铝:广西新投推迟投产西北现货价上涨............................................................................................17电解铝:市场风险偏好好转..........................................................................................................................18铸造铝合金:随铝价震荡运行......................................................................................................................19锌:关注国内冶炼开工变化..........................................................................................................................19铅:维持低位震荡..........................................................................................................................................20镍:中东局势反复,原料隐忧仍存..............................................................................................................21 不锈钢:空头离场,不锈钢价格反弹..........................................................................................................22工业硅:短期震荡看待..................................................................................................................................22多晶硅:政策预期落空,关注宁波会议情况..............................................................................................23碳酸锂:外围市场情绪转暖..........................................................................................................................24锡:科技股强力反弹,锡价或受情绪提振..................................................................................................24 航运及碳排放 集运:美伊对抗持续升级,关注胡塞对沙特实际封锁措施......................................................................26干散货运价:地缘反复再度推升航次成本,关注现有租金是否能覆盖上涨的燃油成本......................27碳排放:碳排放:国内碳价维持高位,地区局势恶化能源供应再受影响..............................................28 能源化工 原油:多重地缘扰动驱动油价持续走强......................................................................................................31沥青:南方炼厂逐步复产,沥青排产回升..................................................................................................31燃料油:供应担忧持续..................................................................................................................................32LPG:成本支撑仍然较强................................................................................................................................33天然气:欧美气价反弹,地缘溢价支撑......................................................................................................34PX&PTA:成本抬升库存下降........................................................................................................................35BZ&EB:纯苯库存已至低位,苯乙烯印度询盘增加...................................................................................35乙二醇:供需偏紧基差偏强.........................................................................................................................36短纤:产销转淡下游出货放缓.............................................................................................................