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能源转型晴雨表2026

公用事业 2026-07-01 益普索 邵泽
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Views on:•Affordability •Security•Reliability•Climate Resiliency•Investment•Conservation Actions•Electricity Generation Sources Detailed Global ReportJuly 2026 © Ipsos | Energy TransitionBarometer 2026 Introduction Two in three (67%) support renewable energyand storage investment, and 58% back heatpump incentives. Support for small nuclearreactors stands at 47%—with South Africa,India, and Poland leading—while fossil fuelpipeline investment attracts just 43% andfaces net opposition in some Europeanmarkets. making energy vulnerability feel concrete andimmediate. The sharpest shifts: Australia(+16pts), Singapore (+13 points), India (+13pts),and Great Britain (+12pts). Support for energyindependence, even at higher cost, rose to60% globally. At the same time, 53% want lowprices even if emissions rise—a directtension with climate goals which hasincreasingly been taking a back seat in theminds of the public. We define the energy transition as theevolving global energy landscape—marked byelectrification, oil supply constraints, andongoing clean energy investment. Today, we see energy anxiety deepening onmultiple fronts and all at once. Affordability,security, and reliability are converging toreshape public expectations of policy makersand the (geo)politics of the energy transition.The energy transition is no longer based onclimate urgency alone, it is driven by cost ofliving, economic security, and risk. The willingness to act on the energy transitiontoday is solid. With the consumer andeconomic costs of traditional fuel sources sohigh, the transition to a carbon neutral energybase will only happen much faster. Confidence in grid reliability is uneven andfalling on the metrics that matter most. While46% are confident their region will meetfuture electricity demand, only 35% believegrids are ready for the energy needs of AI datacentres—the lowest score of any reliabilitymeasure. Emerging markets dominate AI gridoptimism; advanced economies are notablysceptical, raising questions about the politicalreadiness for the infrastructure investmentneeded. On affordability, three in four people globally(76%) say they are worried about rising energycosts while half have cut other spending tocover rising energy costs (49%). Countriesthat are especially exposed to rising energycosts including Thailand, Chile, India, andSingapore are seeing all four measures risesharply at once. Martin Hrobsky This study, the 2026 Energy TransitionBarometer surveyed 23,704 adults across 31countries in January and February 2026, withfollow-up fieldwork in April and May capturingthe early effects of the Iran conflict on publicattitudes. The result is a rare before-and-after view of how a geopolitical shockreshapes public attitudes toward energy costand security, and the transition itself. Ipsos Global Public AffairsEnergy and EnvironmentGlobal Lead Foreign energy dependency anxiety rose 7points to 70% between February and May2026—a shift driven by the Iran conflict On the energy transition itself, public supportfor investment remains solid but selective. Key Findings 35% are confident that their regionhasenough electricityto meet therising energy needs of artificialintelligence(AI) data centres. say it has becomehard to payhousehold energy billsin thepast 12 months are concerned that their countryrelies too much on foreignenergy sourcesfor energy needsgiven what is happening in theworld today. 36% say they are doing all that theycan do toconserve energy. supportinvestment inrenewable energyand energystorage facilities for moreelectricity generation (across 31 countries) Summary Climate Adds to the Concern Energy Security is Crucial Reliability Anxiety Affordability Worries Loom Energy affordability concern keepsclimbing, although they were alreadyhigh prior to the Iran conflict. Climate exposure is a fourthpressure point on an already strainedpublic. The past 11 years have beenthe warmest on record, according tothe World MeteorologicalOrganization, and people feel it.Almost two-thirds are worried aboutheatwaves (63%) and damagingstorms/heavy rainfall/flooding (63%)in the next 12 months, with majoritiesalso stressed about drought/waterscarcity (60%), smog/poor air quality(59%), and wildfires (55%). Tellingly,many of the most climate-exposedcountries—Mexico, Indonesia,Türkiye—are also among the mostprice-sensitive, meaning thehouseholds feeling the threat mostacutely are often least able to absorbthe cost of addressing it. There's anxiety about both short-andlong-term energy supply. Energy security has surged to the topof the public agenda. Across 31 countries, 70% now agreetheir country relies too much onforeign energy sources—up 7 pointsfrom 63% in February, with thesharpest rises in Australia (+16pts),Singapore (+13pts), and India (+13pts).A strong 60% say their countryshould prioritize energyindependence even at higher cost,up 5 points. At the same time, 53%want government to prioritize lowenergy prices even