每 日 早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:人气重聚........................................................................................................................................3国债期货:通胀触顶迹象初现........................................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:供应变动较大盘面整体下行...........................................................................................................5白糖:内外糖震荡走势....................................................................................................................................5油脂板块:油脂整体震荡运行,关注今日mpob报告.................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:玉米现货偏弱,玉米期货底部反弹...................................................................................7生猪:供应压力增加价格震荡运行...............................................................................................................8花生:现货稳定,花生盘面高位震荡............................................................................................................9苹果:早熟苹果价格低短期苹果价格震荡.................................................................................................10鸡蛋:现货价格稳定......................................................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:新疆高温持续市场担忧棉花产量............................................................................................11 黑色金属 钢材:淡季需求承压,底部存在支持..........................................................................................................13双焦:宽幅震荡,难有趋势..........................................................................................................................13铁矿:终端需求低位,矿价偏弱运行..........................................................................................................14铁合金:电费抬升底部,需求压制上方空间..............................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:美伊冲突博弈持续贵金属价格承压震荡.....................................................................................16铜:中东局势反复,暂时观望......................................................................................................................17氧化铝:海运费窄幅上涨国内生产端传言被证伪.....................................................................................18电解铝:中东情形反复低价提振消费.........................................................................................................18铸造铝合金:随铝价震荡反弹......................................................................................................................19锌:关注资金情绪影响..................................................................................................................................20铅:严格设置止损保护利润..........................................................................................................................20镍:宏观环境反复,镍价震荡整理..............................................................................................................21 不锈钢:资金回流,成本附近震荡整理......................................................................................................22工业硅:回调买入..........................................................................................................................................23多晶硅:厂家套保压制短期高点,回调买入..............................................................................................23碳酸锂:宏观环境反复,锂价震荡整理......................................................................................................24锡:警惕宏观压力,锡价震荡运行..............................................................................................................25 航运及碳排放 集运:现货调降带动盘面下跌,预计后续调降速率收窄..........................................................................26干散货运价:大宗散货盘逐渐修复支撑Capesize高位,关注区域贸易货流放量的进程......................27碳排放:碳排放:中国“十五五”碳达峰行动方案发布...............................................................................28 能源化工 原油:市场预计美伊局势可控......................................................................................................................31沥青:近端供应小幅回升,降雨抑制需求..................................................................................................31燃料油:新加坡燃料油库存低位..................................................................................................................32LPG:地缘再起波澜........................................................................................................................................33天然气:卡气复产计划延后..........................................................................................................................34PX&PTA:聚酯产销脉冲式放量或透支后市需求.........................................................................................34BZ&EB:地缘升温短期震荡偏强...................................................................................................................35乙二醇:库存下降基差走强.........................................................................................................................36短纤:产销转弱市场气氛观望..................................................................