您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [韩国银行]:国民总收入:2026年第一季度(初步) - 发现报告

国民总收入:2026年第一季度(初步)

2026-06-09 Jae-jin Lee, Mi-ran Seok, Jun-ho Jang 韩国银行 哪开不壶提哪开
报告封面

Ⅰ. Overview Realgross domestic product(real GDP,chained volume measure of GDP)increased by 1.8% in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the previous quarter,0.1%phigher than the figure given in the advance estimate. Real grossnational income(real GNI)increased by 9.2%in the first quarter of2026 compared to the previous quarter. Ⅱ. Real Gross Domestic Product Quarter-on-quarter Onthe production side,manufacturing increased by 3.9%,mainly due to anincrease in computer, electronic & optical products. Construction expanded by 2.2% as building construction and civil engineering bothincreased. Servicesexpanded by 0.6%,centered on increases in wholesale&retail trade,accommodation & food services, and finance & insurance. Note:1)Includes wholesale&retail trade;accommodation&food services;transportation&storage;finance&insurance;real estate;information&communication;business activities;publicadministration, defense & social security; education; human health & social work; and cultural& other services. On the expenditureside,private consumption increased by 0.6%, as expenditureson goods (e.g., clothing) and expenditures on services (e.g., finance) both increased. Government consumption decreased by 0.4% with decreased expenditures on healthcare benefits. Constructioninvestment rose by 1.4%as building construction and civilengineering both increased. Facilitiesinvestment rose by 6.6%,as machinery and transportation equipmentboth increased. Exportsincreased by 5.9%,as exports of IT items(e.g.,semiconductors)increased.Imports increased by 3.9%,mainly due to increases in machinery&equipment and in motor vehicles. Real GDPincreased by 3.8% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026. Ⅲ. Nominal Gross Domestic Product and GDP Deflator Nominalgross domestic product (nominal GDP)increased by 10.5%in the firstquarter of 2026 compared to the previous quarter. On the income side, compensation of employees increased by 4.0% compared tothe previous quarter, mainly due to wage increases in manufacturing. The gross operating surplus increased by 17.0% compared to the previous quarter,mainly driven by increases in manufacturing and in finance & insurance. TheGDP deflatorrose by 12.9% year-on-year. Ⅳ. Gross National Income and Gross Saving & Investment Ratios Nominal GNIrose by 11.0% in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the quarterbefore, increasing more than nominal GDP (10.5%) as nominal net factor income fromthe rest of the world increased. Real GNIgrew by 9.2% compared to the previous quarter, increasing significantlymore than real GDP (1.8%) as the terms of trade improved and real net factor incomefrom the rest of the world increased. Real personal grossdisposable income(real PGDI)increased by 0.3%comparedto the previous quarter. Thegross saving ratio(gross savings/gross national disposable income)stood at41.7%, 5.7%p higher than in the previous quarter. Thehousehold net saving ratio stood at 8.8%, 0.3%p lower than in the previousquarter. Thegross domestic investment ratio(gross capital formation/gross national disposableincome) was 25.3%, 2.9%p lower than in the previous quarter. ※ Further statistics may be found at Bank of Korea's Economic Statistics System website(https://ecos.bok.or.kr). National Income Statistics 1. Scope of Measurement The national income statistics estimate total economic activity in Korea (i.e., the productionandexpenditures of all economic agents,including households,enterprises,and thegovernment). Production boundary: goods are counted as output even when they are not meant for sale(e.g., when they are for self-consumption); whereas in the case of services, non-paid domesticworkand personal services(e.g.,for self-consumption)are excluded from the productionboundary. Illegaleconomic activities,such as smuggling,gambling,and prostitution,are likewisecurrently not included in national income, even though they should be captured as productionactivities for a comprehensive measurement of production and expenditures. 2. Methods of Measurement Estimationunder the output approach(production-side national income)is carried out asfollows. Nominalvalue-added is derived by first estimating the values of output and intermediateinput and then subtracting the value of intermediate input from that of output. If the value ofthe intermediate input cannot be determined separately, it is calculated using the value-addedratioobtained from the Bank of Korea’s quarterly and annual financial statement analysisreports. Statisticsunder the expenditure approach(expenditure-side national income)are estimateddirectly using a variety of raw data on the amounts of money spent on final products. Statisticsunder the income approach(income-side national income)are estimated using avarietyof raw data on the distribution of nominal value-added generated by production.Operatingsurplus,in contrast,is calculated by subtracting compensation of employees andother components from the nominal value-added