关于国内碳定价和国际碳信用市场在实现长期稳定目标和国家自主贡献中的作用的政策制定者指南

© 2026 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet:www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in thiswork do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governmentsthey represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data included inthis work and does not assume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information or liabilitywith respect to the use of or failure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions set forth. The citationof works authored by others does not mean the World Bank endorses the views expressed by those authors or thecontent of their works. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges andimmunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved. Rights and Permissions This work is licensed under aCreative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 IGO License. Under the CreativeCommons--NonCommercial license, you are free to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this work, for noncommercialpurposes only, under the following conditions: Attribution -Please cite the work as follows: World Bank. 2026.Guidance for Policymakers on the Role of DomesticCarbon Pricing and International Carbon Credit Markets in Achieving LTSs and NDCs.Washington, DC: World Bank. Noncommercial -You may not use this work for commercial purposes. Translations -If you create a translation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution:This translation was not created by The World Bank and should not be considered an official translation. The World Bankshall not be liable for any content or error in this translation. Adaptations -If you create an adaptation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution:This is an adaptation of an original work by The World Bank. Views and opinions expressed in the adaptation are the soleresponsibility of the author or authors of the adaptation and are not endorsed by The World Bank. Third party content—The World Bank does not necessarily own each component of the content contained withinthe work. The World Bank therefore does not warrant that the use of any third party-owned individual component orpart contained in the work will not infringe on the rights of those third parties. The risk of claims resulting from suchinfringement rests solely with you. If you wish to re-use a component of the work, it is your responsibility to determinewhether permission is needed for that re-use and to obtain permission from the copyright owner. Examples ofcomponents can include, but are not limited to, tables, figures, or images. All queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications,The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; e-mail:pubrights@worldbank.org. All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group,1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; e-mail:pubrights@worldbank.org. Contents AcknowledgementsviAbbreviationsviiExecutive Summaryviii1.Introduction12.How to Use this Guidance Note33.The Relationship between LTS and NDC7Distinct but Strategically Aligned Planning Instruments7Why Alignment Matters84.The Role of Carbon Pricing and Carbon Credit Markets115.Integrating Carbon Pricing and Carbon Credit Marketsinto LTSs and NDCs Across the Planning Cycle15Entry Point 1. Preparing an LTS16Step 1: Establish Institutional Foundations16Step 2: Define the Long-Term Carbon Constraint and Transformation Pathway18Step 3: Assess Long-Term Mitigation Supply and Structural Cost Dynamics19Step 4: Clarify the Strategic Positioning of CPI and ICM19Step 4a: Clarify the Strategic Positioning of CPI20Step 4b: Clarify the Strategic Positioning of ICM22Entry Point 2. Updating an Existing LTS27Step 1: Reassess the Long-Term Pathway Against New Information27Step 2: Reevaluate Structural Cost Dynamics and Mitigation Supply28Step 3: Review Financing Architecture and Revenue Performance28Step 4a: Adjust Strategic Positioning of CPI29Step 4b: Adjust Strategic Positioning of ICM30Entry Point 3. Updating an NDC32Step 1: Define the Mitigation Envelope32Step 2: Assess Mitigation Supply, Cost Structure, and Instrument Leverage33Step 3: Evaluate Coverage, Eligibility, and System Readiness34Step 4a: Clarify the Quantified Role of CPIs35Step 4b: Clarify the Quantified Role of ICM38 6.Tools and Guidance for Exploring the Role of Carbon Pricing andCarbon Credit Markets in LTSs and NDCs 43 Appendix A: Glossary50Appendix B: Tools and Models55Appendix C: References59 Boxes Box 1 •How this Guidance Note Relates to the LTS Guidance Note5Box2