每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:美股反弹添信心............................................................................................................................4国债期货:外盘风偏明显反弹........................................................................................................................5 农产品 蛋白粕:报告整体偏多盘面偏强运行..........................................................................................................6白糖:巴西糖产预期下调国际糖价坚挺......................................................................................................6油脂板块:印尼重申实行b50,油脂盘面再次上涨.....................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货回落,盘面底部震荡...................................................................................................8生猪:出栏压力有限价格阶段稳定..............................................................................................................9花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面窄幅震荡..................................................................................................10鸡蛋:现货价格趋稳淘汰有所增加..........................................................................................................10苹果:苹果需求尚可价格坚挺....................................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:利多因素支撑走势震荡偏强...................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:海外情绪搅动期价,钢材缺乏趋势性行情......................................................................................13双焦:情绪消退,关注基本面实质变化......................................................................................................13铁矿:供应扰动仍存,矿价高位运行..........................................................................................................14铁合金:基本面正反馈,受油价影响高位震荡..........................................................................................15 有色金属 金银:美方现退出战争信号金银反弹.........................................................................................................16铂钯:地缘冲突边际缓和贵金属反弹上行.................................................................................................17铜:关注美伊局势变化..................................................................................................................................17氧化铝:关注几内亚矿政及中东地缘冲突走势..........................................................................................18电解铝:美伊均释放结束中东冲突意愿......................................................................................................19铸造铝合金:地缘冲突边际存缓和预期......................................................................................................20锌:关注宏观及资金情绪..............................................................................................................................21 铅:区间震荡..................................................................................................................................................21镍:外围市场缓和支撑镍价..........................................................................................................................22不锈钢:成本支撑,跟随镍价运行..............................................................................................................23工业硅:偏空参与..........................................................................................................................................24多晶硅:需求羸弱,偏空思路看待..............................................................................................................24碳酸锂:下游排产强于预期可能提供支撑..................................................................................................25锡:地缘预期转向支撑,锡价偏强震荡......................................................................................................26 航运及碳排放 集运:现货运价仍在探底,地缘情绪有所缓和..........................................................................................27干散货运价:中东地缘政治冲突依旧持续,关注西澳部分铝土矿区关停时长......................................28碳排放:中国碳市场交易平淡,意大利立法推迟煤电厂退出时间..........................................................29 能源化工 原油:市场再次交易谈判可能......................................................................................................................32沥青:成本上行供应收缩,底部支撑强劲..................................................................................................32燃料油:地缘冲突背景下燃料油仍维持强势..............................................................................................33LPG:盘面维持高位震荡................................................................................................................................34天然气:地缘风险反复,上涨趋势不改......................................................................................................34PX&PTA:原料影响下未来PTA装置或增加变动.........................................................................................36BZ&EB:炼厂降负影响纯苯供应,苯进口量同比下降...............................................................................36乙二醇:海外停车增多,供应收紧..............................................................................................................37短纤:加工差区间波动...................................