塞舌尔国家气候与发展报告

THE REPUBLIC OFSEYCHELLES World Bank GroupPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure Authorized March 2026 © 2026 The World Bank Group1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000; Internet: www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank Group with external contributions. “The World Bank Group”refers to the legally separate organizations of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), theInternational Development Association (IDA), the International Finance Corporation (IFC), and the Multilateral InvestmentGuarantee Agency (MIGA). The World Bank Group does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the content included in thiswork, or the conclusions or judgments described herein, and accepts no responsibility or liability for any omissions orerrors (including, without limitation, typographical errors, and technical errors) in the content whatsoever or for reliancethereon. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and Forest and Land used other information shown on any map inthis work do not imply any judgment on the part of the World Bank Group concerning the legal status of any territory orthe endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in thisvolume do not necessarily reflect the views of the organizations of the World Bank Group, their respective Boards ofExecutive Directors, and the governments they represent. The contents of this work are intended for general informational purposes only and are not intended to constitute legal,securities, or investment advice, an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, or a solicitation of anytype. Some of the organizations of the World Bank Group or their affiliates may have an investment in, provide otheradvice or services to, or otherwise have a financial interest in, certain of the companies and parties named herein. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges andimmunities of any of the organizations of The World Bank Group, all of which are specifically reserved. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank Group encourages dissemination of itsknowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attributionto this work is given and all further permissions that may be required for such use (as noted herein) are acquired. TheWorld Bank Group does not warrant that the content contained in this work will not infringe on the rights of third partiesand accepts no responsibility or liability in this regard. All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 HStreet NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org. Photo credit: The World Bank and shutterstock.com THE REPUBLIC OFSEYCHELLES COUNTRY CLIMATE ANDDEVELOPMENT REPORT ContentsTAbLEOf Abbreviations and Acronymsvii Executive Summaryxi Overviewxv 1.Towards a Resilient Development Path1 1.1.Structural vulnerabilities hinder economic transformation21.2.Climate risks impose a significant burden on development31.3.Shifting to a low-carbon development path can increase resilience6 2.Mainstreaming Climate Commitments and Strengthening Institutions11 2.1.Mainstreaming low-carbon and resilience commitments112.2.Strengthening climate change institutions and governance122.3.Improving disaster risk management institutions and policies13 3.Implications of Climate Change in Key Sectors17 3.1.Sustainable, climate-resilient, high-value tourism183.2.Resilient fisheries, marine ecosystems, and ocean economy243.3.Accelerating the energy transition283.4.Promoting resilient development through infrastructure323.5.Resilient water supply and agriculture production through integrated landscapes383.6.Human capital for resilient and sustainable development43 4.Economy-wide Implications of Climate Actions49 4.1.Climate change could have significant macroeconomic and distributional implications494.2.Accelerating economic development and the energy transition is feasible, but will requireconsiderable private sector investment514.3.Adaptation measures could lower the economic impact of climate change53 ii|Country Climate and Development Report: The Republic of Seychelles 4.4.Investment needs for climate-resilient and sustainable development554.5.Public finances should act as a catalyst56 5.Financing Resilient and Sustainable Development65 5.1.Possible public finance instruments665.2.Unlocking the financial sector’s capacity for climate investments675.3.Additional financing sources for adaptation and mitigation705.4.Disaster risk finance73 6.From Analysis to Action 7.Annexes List of Tables Table ES1: Summary of the CCDR’s 10 key recommendationsxiii Table ES2: Financial sector funding and PES could generate sufficient