2022年欧洲旅游业——趋势与前景（2022年第三季度）

EUROPEAN TOURISM:TRENDS & PROSPECTSQuarterly report (Q3/2022) A report produced forthe European Travel Commission Brussels,November2022 ETC Market Intelligence Report Copyright © 2022 European Travel Commission EUROPEANTOURISM:TRENDS&PROSPECTS(Q3/2022) All rights reserved. The contents of this report may be quoted, provided the source is given accurately andclearly. Distribution or reproduction in full is permitted for own or internal use only. While we encouragedistribution via publicly accessible websites, this should be done via a link toETC's corporate website, referring The designations employed and the presentation ofmaterial in this publication do not imply the expression of Data sources: This report includes data from theTourMIS database,STR,IATA,Eurocontrol,UNWTO, andTransparent. Economic analysis and forecasts are provided byTourism Economicsand are for interpretationby users according to their needs. Published by the European Travel Commission Rue du Marché aux Herbes, 61,1000 Brussels, Belgium Website:www.etc-corporate.orgEmail:info@visiteurope.comISSN No: 2034-9297 This report was compiled and edited by:Tourism Economics (an Oxford Economics Company) on behalf of the ETC Market Intelligence Group. Cover:BeautifulMediterraneanlandscape.Perast, KotorBay (Boka Kotorska), MontenegroImage ID:562486426Copyright:Olena Znak FOREWORD It is evident that European tourism experienced a strong rebound this summer, especially fordestinations in the Southern Mediterranean region. This encouraging trend was driven by theunleashed pent-up demand following the lifting of pandemic-related travel restrictions. Forecasts, The recovery of the tourism sector will continue, but at a slower pace due to lingering risks, especiallyas we approach the colder months amid energy price shocks. A shift in household spending will beapparent, attributed to the ongoing cost of living crisis.Consumers will be likely to travel closer to Looking at long-haul markets, recent data has made it hard to argue that the fear of Russia’s war inUkraine has halted tourists’ desire to travel to Europe. The return of transatlantic travel is providingmuch-neededboostfor Europe’s travel recovery. This is underpinned by a stronger US dollar againstboth the euro and the pound, rendering US outbound travel to Europe more affordable. On theotherhand,travel from Asia and the Pacific, especially from China, has shown minimal progress towards a As European travel demand is roaring back from the pandemic, especially domestic travel, ongoingchallenges continue to shape travel behaviour and the industry overall. As we continue to navigatechallenges, it is crucial to rebuild a sector that responds to global risks, also considering the increasein consumers’ living costs. Our recent research has shown that consumers’ eroding disposable incomeis becoming a major concern for both European and long-haul travellers. Tourism as a force for goodshould thereforestriveto be more inclusive and accessible for all, while addressing overtourism and The latest edition of the European Tourism Trends & Prospects quarterly report provides acomprehensive analysis of the most recent tourism and macroeconomic developments in Europe.The report explores the ongoing disruptions expected toaffecttravel recovery and impact tourism Jennifer IduhETC Executive Unit TABLE OF CONTENTS FOREWORD............................................................................................................................................4TABLE OF CONTENTS...........................................................................................................................5EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.........................................................................................................................61. TOURISM PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 2022...................................................................................92. GLOBAL TOURISM FORECAST SUMMARY...................................................................................133. RECENT INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE............................................................................................14AIR TRANSPORT...................................................................................................................................14ACCOMMODATION..............................................................................................................................174. SPECIAL FEATURE: ECONOMIC CHALLENGES-A DIFFICULT WINTER AHEAD.....................20 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EUROPEAN TOURISM HASRALLIED DESPITE COST-OF-LIVING PRESSURES Europe enjoyed a strong tourism rebound over the summer months as Covid-19 disruptions abated.However, the region was not exempt from turmoil arising from the prolonged war in Ukraine, labourshortages, elevated food and energy prices,and stalling economic growth (the Eurozone economy isexpected to contract by 3.1% in 2022 and 0.5% in 2023)1. Although gas prices