
每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:风险偏好继续走低........................................................................................................................3国债期货:风偏反复,关注债市机会............................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:美豆需求端迎来好转盘面整体偏强..............................................................................................5白糖:国际糖价下跌国内价格相对偏强......................................................................................................6油脂板块:油脂维持宽幅震荡........................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:产区现货稳定,盘面偏弱震荡...........................................................................................8生猪:出栏压力好转现货小幅上涨..............................................................................................................8花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面窄幅震荡....................................................................................................9鸡蛋:节前备货进入尾声蛋价有所下跌....................................................................................................10苹果:节前走货尚可,苹果价格坚挺..........................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:基本面变化不大棉价有所支撑...............................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:需求边际转弱,钢价跟随原料延续震荡..........................................................................................13双焦:资金和情绪交易为主,波动较大......................................................................................................13铁矿:市场预期反复,矿价偏弱运行..........................................................................................................14铁合金:成本支撑较强,多单持有..............................................................................................................15 有色金属 金银:悲观情绪蔓延短期波动加剧.............................................................................................................16铂钯:强美元下金属震荡运行铂钯谨慎参与单边交易.............................................................................17铜:节前关注情绪变化..................................................................................................................................17氧化铝:产能短期边际变化引发波动..........................................................................................................18电解铝:节前等待波动率下降中期预期不变............................................................................................19铸造铝合金:随板块震荡为主......................................................................................................................20锌:关注市场情绪变化..................................................................................................................................21 铅:区间震荡..................................................................................................................................................21镍:跟随有色板块震荡..................................................................................................................................22不锈钢:成本支撑,跟随镍价运行..............................................................................................................23工业硅:有机硅减产预期增加,修正此前观点..........................................................................................24多晶硅:行业自律和挺价预期再起,盘面波动加大..................................................................................25碳酸锂:节前情绪主导,等待波动率下降..................................................................................................25锡:关注市场情绪..........................................................................................................................................26 航运板块 集运:船司开启3月宣涨,关注伊朗地缘动态..........................................................................................27 能源化工 原油:等待靴子落地......................................................................................................................................28沥青:中期原料成本抬升及缺口担忧仍存..................................................................................................28燃料油:高硫现货市场始终强势,近端地缘风险关注..............................................................................29LPG:节前震荡整理........................................................................................................................................30天然气:地缘风险到关键时期,寒冷天气即将影响欧亚..........................................................................31PX&PTA:聚酯减停产陆续兑现,织造销售逐步停止.................................................................................31BZ&EB:供需平衡预期向好,苯乙烯阶段性去库.......................................................................................32乙二醇:累库压力明显..................................................................................................................................33短纤:短纤工厂按计划减停产......................................................................................................................34瓶片:加工差走强..................................................................................