
每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:压力有所减轻................................................................................................................................4国债期货:股债跷跷板....................................................................................................................................5 农产品 蛋白粕:供应仍有压力盘面走势偏强..........................................................................................................6白糖:外盘走势现分歧,郑糖底部震荡........................................................................................................6油脂板块:油脂有所分化................................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:北港现货稳定,盘面偏弱震荡...........................................................................................8生猪:出栏压力增加现货震荡运行..............................................................................................................9花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面底部震荡..................................................................................................10鸡蛋:临近节前备货,蛋价有所上涨..........................................................................................................10苹果:节前走货尚可,苹果价格坚挺..........................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:整体变化不大棉价有所支撑...................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:需求边际转弱,钢价延续震荡..........................................................................................................14双焦:基本面乏善可陈,关注资金扰动......................................................................................................14铁矿:终端需求低位,矿价震荡运行..........................................................................................................15铁合金:估值偏低存在修复需求,短期震荡偏强......................................................................................16 有色金属 金银:特朗普“暗示”弱美元,金银维持强势...............................................................................................17铂钯:美元信任危机贵金属宽幅震荡.........................................................................................................18铜:铜价高位盘整..........................................................................................................................................18氧化铝:阶段性减产规模扩大减仓反弹.....................................................................................................19电解铝:随板块高位震荡..............................................................................................................................20铸造铝合金:宏观避险预期仍在铝合金高位震荡.....................................................................................21锌:关注国内社会库存变化..........................................................................................................................21 铅:供需双弱,区间偏弱震荡......................................................................................................................22镍:跟随有色金属回调..................................................................................................................................23不锈钢:供需偏紧,成本支撑......................................................................................................................24工业硅:减产消息发酵但焦煤拖累盘面,短期震荡偏强..........................................................................25多晶硅:短期关注重要会议情况..................................................................................................................25碳酸锂:供需偏紧,节前高位运行..............................................................................................................26锡:锡价涨幅收窄..........................................................................................................................................26 航运板块 集运:MSK放出WK7-WK9价格环比降100美金,关注伊朗地缘动态...................................................28 能源化工 原油:不确定性放大,走势偏强..................................................................................................................30沥青:成本支撑,沥青市场价格高位震荡..................................................................................................30燃料油:基本面弱势维持,地缘仍为主要利多驱动..................................................................................31LPG:短多长空................................................................................................................................................32天然气:预计LNG价格进一步上涨空间有限,美国HH交割日注意市场风险.......................................33PX&PTA:聚酯需求季节性走弱,聚酯产业链负反馈.................................................................................34BZ&EB:苯乙烯供需格局改善.......................................................................................................................35乙二醇:连云港装置转产,春节前累库压力依然明显..............................................................................36短纤:跟随成本端回落..................................................................................................................................36瓶片:跟随成本端回落.....................................................................................