每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:股指分化将继续............................................................................................................................3 农产品 蛋白粕:供应仍有压力盘面整体下行..........................................................................................................5白糖:国际糖震荡偏弱,国内糖价弱势跟随................................................................................................5油脂板块:整体维持震荡................................................................................................................................6玉米/玉米淀粉:北港现货偏弱,盘面高位回落...........................................................................................7生猪:供应逐步增加价格整体下行..............................................................................................................8花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面底部震荡....................................................................................................9鸡蛋:需求有所改善,蛋价稳中有涨..........................................................................................................10苹果:冷库库存偏低,苹果价格坚挺..........................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:基本面有所支撑棉价震荡为主...............................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:需求存在支撑,钢价延续震荡..........................................................................................................13双焦:供给偏宽松,震荡偏弱运行..............................................................................................................13铁矿:市场预期反复,矿价偏弱运行..........................................................................................................14铁合金:跟随调整后,底部支撑较强..........................................................................................................15 有色金属 金银:美欧争端升级金银再创新高.............................................................................................................17铂钯:震荡区间收敛关注南非降雨表现.....................................................................................................18铜:短线波动加剧,多头趋势不变..............................................................................................................19氧化铝:偏弱运行为主..................................................................................................................................20电解铝:避险情绪再起铝价企稳.................................................................................................................20铸造铝合金:市场情绪反复随铝价企稳.....................................................................................................21锌:关注资金情绪..........................................................................................................................................22铅:关注资金情绪..........................................................................................................................................23 镍:镍价跟随有色调整..................................................................................................................................24不锈钢:跟随镍价运行..................................................................................................................................25工业硅:突发供应缩减消息,短期偏强......................................................................................................25多晶硅:短期观望..........................................................................................................................................26碳酸锂:高位运行,谨慎操作......................................................................................................................26锡:欧美贸易摩擦风险加大,锡价随有色普涨..........................................................................................27 航运板块 集运:淡季运价仍存分歧,盘面等待新驱动..............................................................................................29 能源化工 原油:交投清淡,盘面相持..........................................................................................................................31沥青:原料贴水上涨......................................................................................................................................31燃料油:成本震荡,高低硫供应节奏关注..................................................................................................32天然气:TTF/JKM高位回落,HH超跌反弹.................................................................................................33PX&PTA:聚酯减产增加,负荷加速下行.....................................................................................................35BZ&EB:纯苯有减量预期,苯乙烯存去库预期...........................................................................................35乙二醇:季节性累库明显..............................................................................................................................36短纤:供应充足,终端需求减弱..................................................................................................................37瓶片:检修加速..............................................................................................................................................37丙烯:供应压力缓解...............................