未来机遇报告：特刊——全球解决方案与共享未来

T H E G L O B A L 5 0 S P E C I A L E D I T I O NG L O B A L S O L U T I O N S A N D S H A R E D F U T U R E S * See the HMC icons in each contribution for specific disclosures. FOREWORD Khalfan BelhoulCEODubai Future Foundation Our society is grappling with profound questions about the future amidgrowing uncertainty.1 Official development assistance from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) donor countries fell by up to 17% in2025,2while total global debt has now reached 235% of GDP, the secondhighest level after the Covid-19 pandemic peak of 258%.3UNCTAD’s ‘fearindex’, a calculated measure representing the volatility of the US stockmarket – which makes up nearly 49% of global stock market value4–reached its third-highest level this century, trailing behind only the peaksof the Covid-19 pandemic and the 2008 financial crisis.5Meanwhile, globaleconomic growth forecasts for 2025 have varied between the World Bank(2.7%),6the International Monetary Fund (3.2%),7and the OECD (3.2%).8Partly because of timing, the US tariff hikes – the largest since the 1930s9– have played a part in the discrepancies between these forecasts. Beyond the economy, as the security and resilience of technology supplychains come under scrutiny,10air cargo is increasingly viewed as ameans to strengthen supply chain resilience,11albeit at higher financialand environmental costs.12Following on from 2024, which was thewarmest year on record, 2025 is expected to rank among the top threewarmest years recorded.13,14Meanwhile, progress towards achieving theSustainable Development Goals has slowed,15with increasing calls for newmodels of governance for emerging technologies.16 Yet, the same interconnections that fuel this uncertainty are also creatingnew opportunities for shared progress. Trade between Global South nations is increasing and projected togrow at 3.8% annually, compared to 2.2% growth in trade amongGlobal North economies.17New trade corridors are expanding betweenregions – including Asia and Latin America, China and India, and theMiddle East and Africa.18Meanwhile, space technologies are unlockingopportunities for global internet connectivity, and, with new entrants, thespace economy is poised for continued growth.19In parallel, emergingtechnologies, including artificial intelligence, are helping us to tacklecomplex problems and are increasingly managing entire workflows,20potentially allowing humanity to achieve in a decade what once took acentury of scientific progress.21 History shows that uncertainty can often inspire new pathways towardspositive futures. During the Covid-19 pandemic, Indonesia deliveredremote health services to 300 million people within months, while theUnited Kingdom set up clinical trials for 12,000 patients in just twoweeks.22Past crises, from the 2008 financial crisis to major naturaldisasters,23have also spurred social cooperation and collective resilience,bringing communities together.24 In this special edition of The Global 50 report, Global Solutions andShared Futures, we demonstrate that many promising opportunities areinherently global. As we look towards 2026, we are reminded that despitecurrent uncertainties, our future remains deeply interconnected, and ourshared progress depends on our ability to collaborate across borders,sectors, and systems. CONTENTS INTRODUCTION6CONTRIBUTORS8OPPORTUNITIES9Universal Universe Laws9A Catalyst for Common Good12Beyond Classifications15International Agreements in Our DNA18Make It 10021Global Precedents24Mission Accomplished27The ‘Global’ Protocol for Small Businesses30Innovation Beyond Borders33Reinventing Happiness36‘Public’ AI39The Network of Networks42Ambassador of Scenarios45A Wide World of Data48ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS52ENDNOTES53ABOUT THE DUBAI FUTURE FOUNDATION58DISCLAIMER59 INTRODUCTION Uncertainty is not new.It is something we face, and have faced, everyday in our own lives, in the lives of those around us, and in the world atlarge. Yet, in 2025, uncertainty felt unprecedented:25 –Tariffs keep shifting;26–Media landscapes are changing, mostly driven by misinformationand disinformation generated by artificial intelligence (AI);27–Wars and flashpoints have unclear outcomes and trajectories;28–The future of jobs keeps changing as AI transforms existinglabour markets and impacts youth entering the workforce;29–Inflation persists despite policy interventions;30and–Social media platforms spread information faster and to allgenerations of society before it is checked for authenticity and truth.31 With all of this comes an overall lack of clarity of what comes next, andthat is, by definition, uncertainty. The word ‘uncertainty’ is often used interchangeably with otherterms, yet it is distinct. Unlike risk, which is measurable, with knownoutcomes, uncertainty cannot be assigned probabilities, and possibleoutcomes are not fully known.32Uncertainty sometimes takes the formof knowing something will happen but not when, such as a br