
每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:年末仍有望冲关............................................................................................................................3国债期货:偏松的资金面支撑债市................................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:美豆阶段性下行,盘面整体震荡....................................................................................................5白糖:国际糖价震荡略下调,国内糖价仍强势............................................................................................5油脂板块:油脂技术性反弹,反弹高度或有限............................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货上涨,盘面反弹..........................................................................................................8生猪:供应压力好转,现货明显上涨............................................................................................................8花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面窄幅震荡....................................................................................................9鸡蛋:需求略有回升,蛋价有所回落..........................................................................................................10苹果:需求表现一般,果价稳定为主..........................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:新棉销售较好,棉价震荡偏强.................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:补库预期有待兑现,钢价维持区间震荡..........................................................................................14双焦:宽幅震荡,驱动不明显......................................................................................................................14铁矿:市场预期反复,矿价震荡运行..........................................................................................................15铁合金:商品情绪升温,短期跟随反弹......................................................................................................16 有色金属 金银:黄金高位震荡白银激进上涨.............................................................................................................17铂钯:盘面进入资金博弈的宽幅震荡期注重仓位管理谨慎参与.............................................................18铜:多头情绪高涨..........................................................................................................................................19氧化铝:政策预期推动上涨与基差收敛预期共振.....................................................................................20电解铝:沪铝随板块偏强运行......................................................................................................................20铸造铝合金:废铝供应仍偏紧铝合金随铝价高位运行.............................................................................21锌:关注宏观及资金面影响..........................................................................................................................22 铅:关注资金面对铅价影响..........................................................................................................................22镍:强势板块中的弱势品种补涨..................................................................................................................23不锈钢:跟随镍价偏强运行..........................................................................................................................24工业硅:短期反弹,中期逢高沽空..............................................................................................................25多晶硅:长期偏强,短期注意风险管理......................................................................................................25碳酸锂:高位运行,谨慎操作......................................................................................................................26 航运板块 集运:1月高点分歧仍在,短期预计整体维持震荡...................................................................................28 能源化工 原油:停火协议推进,油价偏弱运行..........................................................................................................29沥青:成本支撑有限,沥青窄幅震荡..........................................................................................................29燃料油:低硫燃料油1月末前偏弱势震荡..................................................................................................30天然气:LNG低位震荡,HH反弹................................................................................................................31LPG:现货走弱,期货盘整............................................................................................................................32PX&PTA:涤丝减产叠加成本走弱PX&TA价格高位回落............................................................................32BZ&EB:纯苯港口库存延续上升苯乙烯计划外检修提振情绪..................................................................33乙二醇:部分装置因减产或停车提振市场买气..........................................................................................34短纤:原料走强,加工费承压......................................................................................................................35瓶片:跟随成本端波动,供需面相对宽松..................................................................................................36丙烯:供应压力增大......................................................................................................................................36塑料PP:PP仓单回到12月中旬