展望AI赋能的未来出行

Kearney ForesightAdvanced Mobility Institute MIT Mobility Initiative The Advanced Mobility Institute, partof Kearney’s Foresight network, helpscompanies, governments, and nonprofitsimplement innovative mobility solutions.We work across the entire mobilityecosystem to modernize and improve The MIT Mobility Initiative (MMI) is a globalplatform to accelerate a safe, clean, andinclusive mobility system. MMI bringstogether researchers, industry leaders,policymakers, and entrepreneurs to advance Applying AI to transform mobility20From task-specific tools tosystem-wide transformation20 The “jagged frontier” and human–AI collaboration15Unique challenges for AI in mobility18 Executive summary The safety criticality of mobility requires carefuldesign of the human-AI interface.AI excels at sometasks and lags in others, in ways that are not alwaysintuitive to humans. In mobility, a safety-critical field,this dynamic “jagged frontier” heightens risk. Ensuringsafety requires intentional hybrid systems that define This report provides an overview of how artificialintelligence is shaping the mobility sector and how itcould do so in the future. It also examines how The findings are based on a joint study conducted bythe MIT Mobility Initiative (MMI) and KearneyAdvanced Mobility Institute (KAMI). The research aimsto equip public- and private-sector leaders with clearinsights into where artificial intelligence is already Ecosystem collaboration is the next primary driver ofprogress.Progress depends less on isolated innovationand more on coordinated execution. Unlocking AI’svalue requires system-wide alignment on strategic Multiple regional end states can emerge amiduncertainty over collaboration and trust.The future ofAI remains uncertain as offering/industry maturity/collaboration and public trust stand at a crossroads.Uncertainty is amplified across regions, shaped by The research team engaged with 55 organizationsacross the global mobility ecosystem, capturinga broad spectrum of perspectives from bothadvanced and emerging markets. This diversity The study generated five key takeaways: The report is grounded in the premise that afundamental test of any modern mobility system is howwell it delivers on three societal priorities: safety,inclusivity, and sustainability. In all three, there are The AI landscape in mobility is fragmented but hasvast potential.AI is already embedded across themobility value chain, powering applications fromnetwork planning to new materials discovery tocrowd monitoring. However, implementation patterns This research identified 39 AI application areas in themobility sector. These were categorized into sevengroups that span the entire mobility value chain,offering a useful structure for understanding how AI is The bigger the potential, the tougher the execution. AI’s transformative potential grows as applicationsmove from task-level tools to system-level integration,but so does complexity. Real transformation willdepend on coordinated action across public and The report concludes with an assessment of theprimary enablers of successful AI adoptionwithin organizations—enablers that some leading Introduction:the priorities and pitfalls Over the past three centuries, advancedtechnologies have repeatedly reshaped ourunderstanding of mobility. Through the developmentof railroads, automobiles, and airplanes, we have Safety First and foremost, safety refers to the capacity ofa transportation system to prevent fatalities andserious injuries and to protect people even whenerrors occur. A safe system is designed to anticipate One example where progress has been particularlyslow is road safety, where the status quo is costly inevery sense of the word. Each year, around 1.19million people worldwide die in traffic accidents, andtens of millions more are injured or disabled (WHO, This report provides an overview of the mostpromising AI applications in the mobility industry,how mobility players can use AI to optimize their Mobility systems provide access to the goods andservices on which we depend—employment,healthcare, education, and more. It is not only aphysical system of vehicles and infrastructure, butalso an economic and social system that determines Although vehicle standards, road design, andemergency response have improved, the globaltarget of halving deaths and injuries by 2030 appearsout of reach; the continued persistence of accidents The fundamental test of any modern mobility systemis how well it delivers on three societal priorities;safety, inclusivity, sustainability. Each represents anessential dimension of human welfare. In all three, Inclusivity Sustainability This refers to whether mobility systems are practicallyaffordable and equitably available to all segments ofsociety. Access is measured not only in fares orservice coverage, but also in how readily people fromvarious economic and demographic categories may In this context, sustainability refers to the ability