每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:股指再受考验................................................................................................................................3国债期货:单边暂缺驱动,关注移仓节奏....................................................................................................4 农产品 豆粕:利多体现充分盘面回落增加..............................................................................................................5白糖:巴西制糖比下降国际糖价大涨..........................................................................................................5油脂板块:油脂分化明显,震荡行情延续....................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:玉米和淀粉:现货继续上涨,盘面偏强震荡....................................................................8生猪:供应压力增加现货继续回落..............................................................................................................8花生:花生现货偏强,花生短期仍底部震荡................................................................................................9鸡蛋:需求表现一般蛋价稳中有落..............................................................................................................10苹果:新一期入库量公布果价稳中有涨....................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:基本面矛盾不大棉价震荡为主...............................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:钢材出现复产,钢价区间震荡..........................................................................................................13双焦:底部有支撑,等待新的驱动..............................................................................................................13铁矿:偏空思路对待......................................................................................................................................14铁合金:供需双弱,成本支撑区间震荡......................................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:美联储再发鹰派信号贵金属跳水.................................................................................................16铜:短期震荡..................................................................................................................................................17氧化铝:关注减产落地警惕基差带动的抛压............................................................................................18电解铝:关注本周经济数据铝基本面仍坚挺............................................................................................19铸造铝合金:铝合金随铝价运行为主..........................................................................................................19锌:宽幅震荡..................................................................................................................................................20 铅:区间震荡..................................................................................................................................................21镍:成本松动镍价震荡走弱.........................................................................................................................22不锈钢:供需两弱原料承压.........................................................................................................................23工业硅:震荡偏弱..........................................................................................................................................23多晶硅:平台公司落地之前,震荡看待......................................................................................................24碳酸锂:高位分歧加大谨防冲高回落........................................................................................................24锡:锡价冲高回落..........................................................................................................................................25 航运板块 集运:02交割日敲定,预计盘面向上修复贴水.........................................................................................27 能源化工 原油:地缘冲突暂未升级,油价回归震荡运行..........................................................................................29沥青:现货短暂企稳,上行动力仍不足......................................................................................................29燃料油:高硫供应压力小幅缓解,低硫短期供应缺口支撑......................................................................30PX&PTA:短期价格震荡.................................................................................................................................31乙二醇:煤制开工走低,受装置影响价格反弹..........................................................................................32短纤:产销偏弱,库存上升..........................................................................................................................33PR(瓶片):淡季需求改善力度有限.............................................................................................................34纯苯苯乙烯:调油需求好转市场情绪提振.................................................................................................34丙烯:负荷继续上升,下游工厂补货..........................................................................................................35塑料PP:国内宏观流动性依然宽松.............................................................................................................36烧碱:烧碱价格偏弱.......