每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:板块再轮动股指仍震....................................................................................................................3国债期货:股债跷跷板效应明显,债市延续震荡........................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:供应压力好转盘面支撑较强..........................................................................................................5白糖:巴西增产或不及预期国际糖价大涨................................................................................................5油脂板块:油脂涨幅有限,维持震荡运行....................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货上涨,盘面偏强震荡...................................................................................................8生猪:供应压力增加现货继续回落..............................................................................................................9花生:花生现货偏强,花生短期偏强震荡....................................................................................................9鸡蛋:需求有所改善蛋价略有回升............................................................................................................10苹果:新一期入库量将公布预计市场波动较大......................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:采摘进入尾声棉价震荡为主.....................................................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:原料成本承压,钢价区间震荡..........................................................................................................14双焦:市场情绪降温震荡调整....................................................................................................................14铁矿:偏空思路对待......................................................................................................................................15铁合金:成本有所支撑,前期空单减持......................................................................................................16 有色金属 贵金属:美国政府重启在即,贵金属短期偏强震荡格局延续..................................................................17铜:短期震荡..................................................................................................................................................18氧化铝:关注减产落地警惕基差带动的抛压..........................................................................................19电解铝:宏微观共振铝价偏强运行............................................................................................................20铸造铝合金:海外降息预期提高铝合金随铝价高位震荡........................................................................21锌:关注出口量级..........................................................................................................................................22 铅:关注国内社会库存变化..........................................................................................................................22镍:成本松动镍价震荡走弱........................................................................................................................23不锈钢:供需两弱原料承压........................................................................................................................24工业硅:区间震荡..........................................................................................................................................25多晶硅:短期震荡看待,区间操作..............................................................................................................25碳酸锂:供需偏紧高位运行.........................................................................................................................26锡:宏观及供应短缺情绪加剧推高锡价......................................................................................................27 航运板块 集运:11月下运费逐渐明朗盘面情绪有所消化,关注02交割结算日期...............................................28 能源化工 原油:过剩预期强化,油价重回低位..........................................................................................................29沥青:成本支撑乏力,沥青估值被动修复..................................................................................................29燃料油:高硫供应环比减少,低硫短期缺口仍存......................................................................................30PX&PTA:短期价格震荡偏弱.........................................................................................................................31乙二醇:四季度供需走向宽松,存累库预期..............................................................................................32短纤:产销偏弱,库存上升..........................................................................................................................32PR(瓶片):淡季需求改善力度有限.............................................................................................................33纯苯苯乙烯:内盘供需偏弱短期价格震荡.................................................................................................34丙烯:供应压力仍在,产业链整体偏弱运行..............................................................................................35塑料PP:L合约空单持有..............................................................................................................................35烧碱:烧碱价格偏弱................................................................................................