泰国当前能源市场状况及能源研究进展

ENTEC7 CURRENTENERGYMARKETSTATUSANDENERGYRESEARCHDEVELOPEMENTINTHAILAND SUMITTRACHAROJROCHKUL,PH.D ExecutiveDirectorofNationalEnergyTechnologyCenter(ENTEC)National ScienceandTechnologyDevelopmentAgency(NSTDA) OrganizationEstablishmentof ENTECENTECNSTDA ResearchArea Thailand:SDG（COP21)>CarbonNeutrality(COP26)ENTEC Thailand'sLong-termGreenhouseGasEmissionDevelopmentStrategy Current REStatusinThailand RERatioinThailand Thailand's GHGEmission Thailand'sPowerDevelopmentPlan2024 PowerDevelopmentPlan2024(PDP2024)ThedraftPDP2024representsapivotalframeworkforThailandspowersectordecarbonization,callingfor43GWofadditional power capacity during 2024-2037.Keycapacityadditionsinclude Gross power capacity additions underThailand's draftpowerdevelopmentplan(2024-2037) Solar:24GW terrestrialsolarFloatingsolar:3GWOnshore wind:5GWCombined-cycle gas turbines (CCGT):6GWBioenergy:2GwSmall modularnuclearreactors (SMRs):0.6 GWEnergystorage:26GWhofbattery-basedstorage and 20 GWh of pumped hydroHydropowerimports:Additional3.5Gwbeyondcurrent4.6GwfromLaos NetZeroScenario:Thailand NetZeroScenarioprojectsThailandwillreach246Gwofdomesticpowersupply-146%higherthanthedraftPDP2o24target.Thailandplanstoreducegaspowercapacityfrom67%in2023to28%in2037byexpandingsolar,wind,andbioenergy.Basedoncommercially scalable technologies and historical efficiency trends,Thailand canenergy transition plan may be more conservative than what is technically feasible. SolarTechnology Solaristhemostaffordablenewsourceofpower Utility-scale solar is alreadythecheapestsourceofnewbulk generation in ThailandOnshorewindwillbecost-competitiveagainstthermal powerplants by2030Solarwith batteries isalreadycheaperthanthermal powerplants Pumped hydro Thailand's Pumped Hydro Storage Thailandoperatesthreepumpedhydroplantswith1.5GW/6.0GwhcapacityatLamtakongJolabhaVadhana,Bhumibol,and Srinakarindams.Thailand'seight-hourpumped hydroprojects have competitivelevelizedcostofstorageat$61-176/Mwh,belowtheglobalaverage. EnergyResearchDevelopmentAreas Thailand must urgently findclean, reliableenergy.Let's helpreduceGHGemissionswhilemaintaining our abilityto meetenergy needs. Hydrogen:Clean energy hasbeen discussed bothon theglobal stage and in theframeworkof the nationalenergy plan. Drivingthe useof hydrogen intheenergy sectorltisthereforeconsistent with the globaldirection and helps achieveclimate goals.along withcreating energy security CurrentHydrogenProjectsinThailand 1.ElectricPowerSector:Hydrogenpowerplant(EGAT)3ookW(SaraburiProvince)Cleanelectricityproducedfromwindturbinesthenusedinanelectrolyzertosplitwaterintohydrogen and oxygen.Next,fuel cell is used to converthydrogen and oxygen intoelectricity 2.HeatSector:- 3.Transportation Sector:Toyota Mirai car,FCEV type, to serve as a shuttle for tourists at U-TapaoAirport orprovideservicestotouristsand those interested inthePattaya-Chonburiarea AcceleraterenewablesdeploymentinThailand 1.Conduct regular energy storageauctionsand incentivizeinvestmentinsmall-scalebattery systems 4.Enablemorecleanpowerprocurementoptionstoboostrenewablesconsumption 7.Raisefundingfor energytransition via carbon pricingmechanism and sustainabledebtinstruments 8.Streamlinecurrentgovernanceand build capacity amongtechnicalworkforce 9.Improvepowercapacityexpansion planning to avoid futurecostburden Thank you SumittraCharojrochkul,PhD,DicExecutiveDirectolNational EnergyTechnologyCenter-ENTECNSTDAsumittra.cha@entec.or.th