每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 农产品 豆粕:新增变化有限盘面小幅震荡..............................................................................................................3白糖:外糖价格再次下跌内外糖大趋势偏弱..............................................................................................3油脂板块:短期维持震荡................................................................................................................................4玉米/玉米淀粉:新粮压力减弱,盘面继续反弹...........................................................................................5生猪:出栏压力维持现货小幅反弹..............................................................................................................6花生:产区天气仍有影响,花生短期偏强震荡............................................................................................7鸡蛋:需求变化不大蛋价有所企稳..............................................................................................................8苹果:优果率不高果价稳中有涨..................................................................................................................9棉花-棉纱:新棉陆续上市棉价偏弱震荡为主...........................................................................................10 黑色金属 钢材:旺季需求落空,钢价压力仍存..........................................................................................................11双焦:驱动不明显震荡运行........................................................................................................................11铁矿:中期偏空思路对待..............................................................................................................................12铁合金:需求有压力,估值与成本存支撑,底部震荡..............................................................................13 有色金属 贵金属:流动性宽松预期下金银强势不改.................................................................................................14铜:短期铜价存在整固需求,长期趋势不变..............................................................................................14氧化铝:供需过剩带动偏弱走势不变..........................................................................................................15电解铝:短期恐慌不改变中期偏强趋势......................................................................................................16铸造铝合金:短期宏观情绪干扰仍在废铝价格或相对坚挺....................................................................17锌:多空因素交织逢高可布局空单.............................................................................................................18铅:供需双弱,警惕铅价高位回落..............................................................................................................19镍:累库体现过剩镍价承压运行.................................................................................................................19不锈钢:需求不济考验成本支撑..................................................................................................................20 工业硅:区间震荡,高抛低吸......................................................................................................................21多晶硅:偏强看待..........................................................................................................................................21碳酸锂:需求托底,供应不确定,锂价震荡偏强运行..............................................................................22锡:供需双弱,关注缅甸复产进展..............................................................................................................22 航运板块 集运:宣涨等多方因素为盘面提供支撑,中东地缘局势进展或仍有反复..............................................24 能源化工 原油:市场扰动频繁,油价维持震荡........................................................................................................26沥青:现货需求弱势,成本低位震荡........................................................................................................26燃料油:高硫进料需求支撑,低硫现货疲弱............................................................................................27PX&PTA:供需偏弱偏空思路........................................................................................................................28乙二醇:四季度有累库预期,供需走向宽松..............................................................................................29短纤:聚酯原料累库压力仍存,聚酯需求预期走弱................................................................................30PR(瓶片):聚酯原料累库压力仍存,聚酯需求预期走弱........................................................................30纯苯苯乙烯:维持偏空思路........................................................................................................................31丙烯:供应宽松,需求有走弱预期............................................................................................................32塑料PP:地产数据不佳,空单持有...........................................................................................................33烧碱:现货稳定,价格震荡运行................................................................................................................33PVC:供需格局不变,成交寡淡.................................................................................................................34纯碱:价格震荡,降速放缓........................................................................................................................35玻璃:负反馈加剧,价格下跌.............................................................