转型世界中政府领导人面临的关键决策点

STRATEGIC SHOCKS:STRATEGIC SHOCKS ARE POTENTIALHIGH-IMPACT EVENTS FOR WHICH CONTINGENCY PLANSARE VITAL TO ENSURING READINESS•INFLATION PARADOX•MIGRATION CASCADES•ENERGY CHAOS•FOOD NATIONALISM•WORLD AT WARWIDENING DIVIDES:WIDENING DIVIDES ARE SOCIAL,ECONOMIC, AND TECHNOLOGICAL DOMAINS ANDPERSPECTIVES LIKELY TO BECOME INCREASINGLYPOLARIZED AND POLARIZING•CRYPTO BALANCE•SANCTION LABYRINTHS•DEBT TRIAGE•LIBERTY VS. ORDER•PUBLIC TRUSTSYSTEM DISRUPTORS:SYSTEM DISRUPTORS ARE WHOLLYNEW PATTERNS, DOMAINS, OR CLASSES OF ACTORS THATWILL REQUIRE GOVERNMENT ENGAGEMENT•CYBERCRIME SYNDICATES•TRANSPARENCY WARFARE•METAVERSE GOVERNANCE•TECH POLICY POWER BROKERS•THREAT DEMOCRATIZATION•SPACE ARCHITECTUREPOLICY ACCELERATORS:POLICY ACCELERATORSARE EMERGING TOOLS AND INSTRUMENTS BY WHICHGOVERNMENT LEADERS CAN DRIVE MORE RAPID PROGRESSIN A RANGE OF POLICY DOMAINS•EDGE GOVERNANCE•PASSION ENGINEERING•DIGITAL TAXATION POSITIONING•ANTI-CORRUPTION TECHNOLOGY•AI BOUNDARIES•CLIMATE INTEGRITYWORLD GOVERNMENT SUMMITCRITICAL DECISION POINTSTABLE OF CONTENTS6223857Decision points are junctures in space and time, identified during theplanning process, where it is anticipated that leadership must make adecision concerning a specific course of action.* In 2022, four categories ofdecision points will be particularly critical for government leaders.* https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/abs/command/decision-point/F7275E36F95BB6DD06AB0C98C3B69567 WORLD GOVERNMENT SUMMITWe are at the precipice of change; the challenges of this moment areunprecedented, and how governments withstand the trials and tribulations of2022, will shape our future for decades to come.In 2021 the global community began to curtail the human toll and theeconomic disruption of the COVID-19 virus. The challenge of the globalpandemic inspired an impressive response from governments, researchers,and regular citizens worldwide. Through bold economic measures weavoided a possible depression, through focused research new vaccines weredeveloped, and by coming together communities around the world took thenecessary steps to stem and control the pandemic.As we begin to end the pandemic, our world is still transforming. While theglobal impetus to build back better towards a more resilient, more connected,and more hopeful future is palpable, we also see new international conflictsplaying out even as old tensions continue to vex many parts of the world. Theworld economy remains fragile, and our planet and ecosystem remain on adangerous course.This challenging backdrop demands resourceful, coordinated, and decisiveaction to recover the peace and prosperity we need to build a better future.The stakes are high across the major areas of our collective life. Governmentsmust take critical decisions much faster and together – as leaders, we muststrive for the common good and peace even as we navigate confrontation.The World Government Summit Organization’s report – “Critical DecisionPoints Facing Government Leaders in a Transforming World” – takes a broadlook at the many-hued challenges we face as a global community. The reportdetails the opportunities and risks that come from new technologies, thepossibilities and pitfalls of economic change, and the enduring importance ofbuilding responsive and resilient systems and government institutions.Even in the face of the turbulence that comes with change, by workingtogether in the spirit of cooperation we can combine our knowledge andexperience to strengthen and renew our world. Our children and futuregenerations will inherit the conditions we create – our cooperation andjudgement today can secure their peace and prosperity tomorrow.H.E. MOHAMMAD AL GERGAWIMINISTER OF CABINET AFFAIRS OF THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATESCHAIRMAN OF THE WORLD GOVERNMENT SUMMIT ORGANIZATIONCRITICAL DECISIONS FOR A CRITICAL TIME WORLD GOVERNMENT SUMMITINTRODUCTIONIn the critical juncture the world has entered, governments facea radically altered landscape of uncertainty featuring challengesand opportunities that are not just unfamiliar, but in many casesstructurally novel. The world we have entered does not just feeldifferent – it is different.For government leaders, this emerging landscape presents a range ofcritical decision points. These include contingencies to prepare for;chasms of perspective to bridge; non-traditional threats to preempt,disruptive policy instruments and strategies to leverage; new actorsto engage – and across all of these, opportunities for strategicinnovation to seize.By anticipating these critical decision points and taking action onthem early in their evolution, government leaders can create strategicadvantage, strengthen resilience, and accelerate progress in theturbulent chapter in our history that we have now so clearly entered. WORLD GOVERNMENT SUMMIT22 CRITICAL DECISION POINTSFACING GOVERNMENT LEADERSIN A TRANSFORMING WORLD STRATEGICSHOCKSStrategic Shocks are potentialhigh-impact events for whichcontingency plans are vital toensuring readinessCriti