领先指标2025年7月

Core CPI inflation(Q1 2025, y/y %)2.92.5 Cash rate target(June 2025, %)10-year bond yield(30 June 2025, %)3.854.23.354.2 AustraliaNSWVicQldWALatestLast quarter1 year agoJun-25Mar-25Dec-24Sep-24Jun-24Australia51.251.650.249.650.7China0.051.851.450.352.8Euro Area50.250.949.649.650.9Japan51.448.950.552.049.7UK50.751.550.452.652.3US52.853.555.454.054.8 May-25Feb-25Nov-244.14.04.04.04.03.94.44.44.54.04.03.93.83.63.6 Latest in May-25Other RetailingCafes, Restaurants & Takeaway Food ServicesDepartment StoresClothing, Footwear & Personal Accessory RetailingTotalHousehold GoodsFood RetailingMay-25Feb-25Nov-24Aug-24May-24Retail trade value (m/m, %)0.20.20.60.60.7Retail trade value (y/y, %)3.33.62.93.01.9Latest in May-25WAVicQldAusSATasNSWACT Percentage change fromFeb-25Nov-241.6%3.3%1.2%1.1%0.4%1.1%0.1%0.5%0.4%0.9%-0.1%0.3%-0.5%-0.1%0.2%0.5% Mar-25 Dec-24 Sep-24 Jun-24 Mar-24Headline CPI (q/q, %)0.90.20.21.01.0Headline CPI (y/y, %)2.42.42.83.83.6Trimmed mean inflation (y/y, %)2.93.33.64.04.0Jun-25Sep-25Dec-25Mar-26Jun-26Cash rate target3.85Oxford Economics3.603.353.353.35NAB3.353.103.103.10Market pricing3.393.042.902.86Jun-25Mar-252-year swap3.475-year swap3.6610-year bond4.19Monthly averageMay-25Australia (y/y, %)2.1US (y/y, %)2.4UK (y/y, %)3.4Euro area (y/y, %)1.9AustraliaMonth-end Dec-24Sep-24Jun-243.733.903.664.244.004.113.744.294.414.343.924.25Feb-25Nov-24Aug-24May-242.42.42.83.82.82.72.63.22.82.62.32.02.32.22.22.6USUKEuro area Percentage change fromMar-25Dec-24Sep-24Jun-24ASX 2007.3%2.7%5.2%9.7%S&P 5006.0%0.3%7.2%11.2%Nasdaq10.3%-0.4%11.7%12.3%Euro STOXX 500.5%10.8%11.3%10.2%FTSE 3502.2%6.5%5.9%6.8%Monthly averageIndexLatestPercentage change fromMay-25Feb-25Nov-24Aug-24May-24Gold3,29015.1%24.1%31.4%41.3%LNG10.8-26.6%-23.0%-18.2%-0.4%Iron Ore100.3-7.3%-3.6%-0.6%-15.9%Monthly average Monthly averageLatestJun-25Mar-25Dec-24USD per AUD0.650.630.63Percentage change fromTrade weighted index60.00.4%-0.7% Sep-240.68-3.3%