卫星农业专题：卫星遥感监测产量预估及重点天气分析报告

研究院农产品组研究员邓绍瑞010-64405663dengshaorui@htfc.com从业资格号：F3047125投资咨询号：Z0015474李馨lixin@htfc.com从业资格号：F03120775投资咨询号：Z0019724联系人白旭宇010-64405663baixuyu@htfc.com从业资格号：F03114139薛钧元010-64405663xuejunyuan@htfc.com从业资格号：F03114096投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1289号 目录内容摘要..............................................................................................................................................................................................1全球重点农产品产量预估..................................................................................................................................................................5产量预估品种、时间窗口和方法..............................................................................................................................................5产量预估结果..............................................................................................................................................................................6全球重点农产品长势监测..................................................................................................................................................................7马来和印尼棕榈油产区状况......................................................................................................................................................7美国大豆、玉米产区状况..........................................................................................................................................................9美国棉花产区状况....................................................................................................................................................................11加拿大菜籽产区状况................................................................................................................................................................14澳大利亚菜籽产区状况............................................................................................................................................................15新疆红枣产区温度评估....................................................................................................................................................................17欧洲近期热穹顶形成与崩塌............................................................................................................................................................18欧洲6月底到7月初热穹顶形成原因及影响........................................................................................................................18热穹顶后期坍塌影响和再度形成............................................................................................................................................19北美产区历史和未来天气分析........................................................................................................................................................21北美过去一个月天气状况分析................................................................................................................................................21美国南部极端降水评估............................................................................................................................................................21北美未来一个月天气趋势分析................................................................................................................................................22图表图1:全球重点农作物生长日历........................................................................................................................................................5图2:当期监测区域和品种示意图....................................................................................................................................................5图3:农产品组产量模型预估............................................................................................................................................................5图4:农产品组产量模型预估............................................................................................................................................................6图5:6月底东南亚棕榈油产区NDVI距平图..................................................................................................................................7图6:马来半岛棕榈6月长势和环境指标对比................................................................................................................................8图7:沙捞越和沙巴棕榈6月长势和环境指标对比........................................................................................................................8图8:加里曼丹棕榈6月长势和环境指标对比................................................................................................................................8图9:苏门答腊棕榈6月长势和环境指标对比................................................................................................................................8图10:北达科他大豆玉米带6月长势和环境对比..........................................................................................................................9图11:南达科他大豆玉米带6月长势和环境对比..........................................................................................................................9图12:内布拉斯加大豆玉米带6月长势和环境对比..