不丹发展更新：2025年春季 - 连接未来：应对移民挑战与把握机遇

Spring 2025 BRIDGINGTHE FUTUREAddressin"Ch!llen"es!ndH!rnessin"Opportunities ofMi"r!tionPublic Disclosure Authorized Spring 2025 BRIDGINGTHE FUTUREAddressin"Ch!llen"es!ndH!rnessin"Opportunities ofMi"r!tion This work is!product of the st!ffof the Intern!tion!l B!nk for Reconstruction!nd Develop-ment (IBRD), the Intern!tion!l Development Associ!tion (IDA), the Intern!tion!l Fin!nce Cor-por!tion (IFC),!nd the Multil!ter!l Investment Gu!r!ntee A#enc$(MIGA), collectivel$known!sThe World B!nk Group, with extern!l contributors. The World B!nk Group does not#u!r!ntee the!ccur!c$, reli!bilit$or completeness of thecontent included in this work, or the conclusions or jud#ments described herein,!nd!ccepts noresponsibilit$or li!bilit$for!n$omissions or errors (includin#, without limit!tion, t$po#r!phic!lerrors!nd technic!l errors) in the content wh!tsoever or for reli!nce thereon. The bound!ries,colors, denomin!tions, links/footnotes!nd other inform!tion shown in this work do not impl$!n$jud#ment on the p!rt of!n$of the or#!ni%!tions of The World B!nk Group concernin#the le#!l st!tus of!n$territor$or the endorsement or!ccept!nce of such bound!ries. Thecit!tion of works!uthored b$others does not me!n The World B!nk Group endorses the viewsexpressed b$those!uthors or the content of their works. The findin#s, interpret!tions,!ndconclusions expressed in this volume do not necess!ril$reflect the views of IBRD/IDA, IFC!ndMIGA, their respective Bo!rds of Executive Directors,!nd the#overnments the$represent. The contents of this work!re intended for#ener!l inform!tion!l purposes onl$!nd!re notintended to constitute le#!l, securities, or investment!dvice,!n opinion re#!rdin#the!ppro-pri!teness of!n$investment, or!solicit!tion of!n$t$pe. Some of the or#!ni%!tions of TheWorld B!nk Group or their!ffili!tes m!$h!ve!n investment in, provide other!dvice or servicesto, or otherwise h!ve!fin!nci!l interest in, cert!in of the comp!nies!nd p!rties n!med herein. Nothin#herein sh!ll constitute or be construed or considered to be!limit!tion upon or w!iverof the privile#es!nd immunities of!n$of IBRD/IDA, IFC!nd MIGA,!ll of which!re specific!ll$reserved. Ri"hts!nd Permissions The m!teri!l in this work is subject to cop$ri#ht. Bec!use the World B!nk Group encour!#esdissemin!tion of its knowled#e, this work m!$be reproduced, in whole or in p!rt, for noncom-merci!l purposes!s lon#!s full!ttribution to this work is#iven!nd!ll further permissions th!tm!$berequired for suchuse (!s noted herein)!re!cquired. The World B!nk Group does notw!rr!nt th!t the content cont!ined in this work will not infrin#e on the ri#hts of third p!rties!nd!ccepts no responsibilit$or li!bilit$in this re#!rd. All queries on ri#hts!nd licenses shouldbe!ddressed to World B!nk Public!tions, The World B!nk, 1818 H Street NW, W!shin#ton, DC20433, USA; e-m!il:pubri!hts@worldb"nk.or!. Pref!ce!nd Acknowled"ement.....................................................................................................................viAbbrevi!tions ..................................................................................................................................................... viiiExecutive Summ!r#............................................................................................................................................ix1.Recent Economic Developments......................................................................................................... 11.1.Glob!l!nd Re#ion!l Context ...........................................................................................................................11.2.Recent Economic Developments.................................................................................................................. 4Re!l Sector........................................................................................................................................................ 4Infl!tion ...............................................................................................................................................................9Povert$!nd Welf!re.................................................................................................................................10Extern!l Sector.............................................................................................................................................12Fisc!l Sector!nd Debt Sust!in!bilit$..........................................................................................16Monet!r$Polic$!nd Fin!nci!l Sector .........................................................................................181.3.Medium-term Outlook...................................................................................................................................... 23Annex...........................................................................................................................................................