新冠肺炎后强劲需求因短期中断而减弱

CONSTRUCTION MARKET INTELLIGENCE INDEPENDENT CONSULTANTS, LOCAL KNOWLEDGEAND EXPERTISE, GLOBAL NETWORK Each RLB office contributes to the global intelligence providing insights into theconditions and trends that impact the local construction industry The informationgathered and disseminated by each office includes As the largest independent and most geographically prevalent construction costconsultancy of its kind in the world Rider Levett Bucknall (RLB) has access to theforemost construction market intelligence §RLB Crane Index§Forecast Tender Price Index uplifts§RLB Construction Market Activity Cycle§Key building type cost ranges in local currencies RLB collects and collates construction data and forecast trends—on a globalregional country city and sector basis—from its comprehensive network of officesaround the globe The RLB International Report which is published half-yearlypresents a snapshot of this data TENDER PRICE INDEX BUILDING COST RANGES CONSTRUCTION MARKET INTELLIGENCE RLB’s Tender Price Index (TPI) showcases the historicaland forecast movements in construction cost inflationand escalation on an annual basis The TPI annual raterepresents an overall forecast of the movement ofconstruction costs for the industry within the key cities ofRLB’s network of offices RLB’s regularly updated Building Cost Ranges canbe found via the RLB website (wwwrlbcomccc) A summary of Construction Market Intelligence isprovided by each region highlighting the issuesthat are impacting the construction industry andproviding key insights into current constructionprice movements Each region’s Cost Intelligence publication featurescurrent building cost ranges and each publicationcan be found on wwwrlbcom under the ‘Insights’tab RLB MARKET ACTIVITY CYCLE RLB CRANE INDEX RELATIVITY INDEX The RLB Crane Indexprovides a simplifiedmeasure of the current state of the constructionindustry’s workload in key locations around theworld RLB offices record fixed crane numbersacross key cities by project sector which providesan overview of how markets change over time Using TPI data and cost modelling RLB provides ageneral cost comparison for building costs betweenlocations The Relativity Index ranks each city inrespect of other locations within the RLB network ofoffices Currently  cities are included in the index The RLB Market Activity Cycle focuses on seven keysectors within the overall construction economy LocalRLB Directors assess the current position of each sectorwithin the market activity cycle for each respective city EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The construction industry both regionally and globally is a highly connected network that is currently in a state of stress The headwinds driving this heightened stress areevident right throughout RLB’s network of offices RLB has identified common key challenges facing the global construction industry These include significant cost escalationsupply chain disruptions with global delivery uncertainty shortages of construction professionals and skilled labour to deliver committed and future projects climate changeand aberrant weather events that are causing significant construction delays and increasing levels of financial instability across the industry including the resultant flow-oneffect to suppliers and subcontractors All of these downside risks are driving up construction prices and will not be resolved on a local level in the short-term During the second half of  the pandemic exposed the vulnerabilities of global supply chains Supply issues were expected to stabilise moving into  as both globalproduction resumed and supplies normalised However pandemic-induced supply shortages persist affecting key materials such as timber paint and coatings aluminiumsteel and cement among others These disruptions are due to multiple factors particularly pent-up demand for key materials as global construction activity resumed Furtherexacerbating the situation are disruptions in the movement of materials due to increased shipping congestion and delays at major Chinese ports The delays have caused aspike in freight costs which remain—on average—three to five times higher than  levels including rising commodity prices and increasinginflation Canada also expects to continue to grow in thecoming years mainly due to investment in residentialconstruction and maintenance work on Canada’s majorinfrastructure This investment is one of the first itemson the government’s agenda led by Prime MinisterJustin Trudeau albeit with potential compromises as theelection result is finalised The global construction market was making goodprogress in recovering from the challenges caused bythe COVID- pandemic However since the beginningof  the industry has experienced a high degree ofshort-term uncertainty globally following heightenedgeopolitical tensions The conflict in the Ukraine isexacerbating existing supply ch