基本面高频数据跟踪：地缘冲突推升油价

请仔细阅读本报告末页声明作者分析师执业证书编号：S0680520050001邮箱：yangyewei@gszq.com研究助理执业证书编号：S0680123090006邮箱：liangkun@gszq.com相关研究1、《固定收益定期：新的做多力量会来自何方？》2025-06-152、《固定收益定期：资金宽松，曲线下移——流动性和机构行为跟踪》2025-06-143、《固定收益点评：融资弱资金宽，债市继续走强》2025-06-14 杨业伟梁坤 P.2内容目录总指数：基本面高频指数平稳..............................................................................................................................4生产：电炉、聚酯开工率回落..............................................................................................................................6地产销售：新房销售同比转正..............................................................................................................................8基建投资：石油沥青开工率回升...........................................................................................................................9出口：出口集装箱运价指数持续回升..................................................................................................................10消费：乘用车零售和批发回落............................................................................................................................12CPI：猪肉价格继续回落....................................................................................................................................13PPI：原油期货价格回升....................................................................................................................................14交运：客运和航班回落......................................................................................................................................16库存：电解铝库存持续回升...............................................................................................................................17融资：地方债和信用债净融资回落.....................................................................................................................19风险提示..........................................................................................................................................................19图表目录图表1：基本面高频指数跟踪.............................................................................................................................5图表2：国盛固收基本面高频指数......................................................................................................................6图表3：利率债多空信号指数.............................................................................................................................6图表4：工业生产周频指数................................................................................................................................6图表5：重点电厂煤炭日耗................................................................................................................................6图表6：电炉开工率..........................................................................................................................................7图表7：聚酯开工率..........................................................................................................................................7图表8：钢胎样本企业开工率.............................................................................................................................7图表9：PTA开工率..........................................................................................................................................7图表10：地产销售周频指数...............................................................................................................................8图表11：30大中城市商品房成交面积................................................................................................................8图表12：100大中城市成交土地溢价率..............................................................................................................8图表13：十城二手房成交面积...........................................................................................................................8图表14：基建投资高频指数...............................................................................................................................9图表15：地炼开工率.........................................................................................................................................9图表16：水泥发运率.........................................................................................................................................9图表17：石油沥青开工率..................................................................................................................................9图表18：出口高频指数...................................................................................................................................10图表19：CCFI指数.........................................................................................................................................10图表20：义乌中国小商品指数.........................................................................................................................10图表21：RJ/CRB商品价格指数........................................................................................................................10图表22：韩国旬度出口增速................................................................................