您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [国盛证券]:金融属性驱动部分金属价格补涨 - 发现报告

金融属性驱动部分金属价格补涨

有色金属 2025-06-08 国盛证券 严宏志19905053625
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请仔细阅读本报告末页声明 增持(维持)笃慧执业证书编号:S0680523090003邮箱:duhui1@gszq.com高亢执业证书编号:S0680523020001邮箱:gaokang@gszq.com1、《钢铁:黑色产业链采掘与冶炼盈利分化》2025-06-2、《钢铁:期待“反内卷”扩张产出缺口》2025-05-3、《钢铁:重估中国-2025年中期策略报告》2025-05-2024-102025-02钢铁沪深300 作者分析师分析师相关研究012522 P.3内容目录1.本周核心观点...................................................................................................................................................41.1.供给:日均铁水产量回落........................................................................................................................41.2.库存:总库存降幅收窄............................................................................................................................51.3.需求:表观消费走弱...............................................................................................................................71.4.原料:铁矿价格回落...............................................................................................................................71.5.价格与利润:钢材现货价格偏强运行,即期毛利小幅改善........................................................................102.本周行情回顾.................................................................................................................................................123.本周行业资讯.................................................................................................................................................133.1.行业要闻..............................................................................................................................................133.2.重点公司公告.......................................................................................................................................134.风险提示.......................................................................................................................................................14图表目录图表1:247家样本钢厂炼铁产能利用率(%)...................................................................................................4图表2:247家钢厂日均铁水产量(万吨).........................................................................................................4图表3:91家样本钢厂电炉产能利用率(%).....................................................................................................5图表4:五大品种钢材周度产量(万吨)............................................................................................................5图表5:螺纹钢周度产量(万吨)......................................................................................................................5图表6:热轧卷板周度产量(万吨)...................................................................................................................5图表7:五大品种钢材社会库存(万吨)............................................................................................................6图表8:螺纹钢社会库存(万吨)......................................................................................................................6图表9:热轧卷板社会库存(万吨)...................................................................................................................6图表10:五大品种钢材钢厂库存(万吨)...........................................................................................................6图表11:螺纹钢钢厂库存(万吨).....................................................................................................................6图表12:热轧卷板钢厂库存(万吨).................................................................................................................6图表13:五大品种钢材周度表观消费量(万吨).................................................................................................7图表14:螺纹钢周度表观消费量(万吨)...........................................................................................................7图表15:热轧卷板周度表观消费量(万吨).......................................................................................................7图表16:主流贸易商日度建材成交量(五日移动平均)(万吨).........................................................................7图表17:普氏铁矿石价格指数(62%Fe,CFR)(美元/吨)...............................................................................8图表18:澳洲周度发货量(万吨).....................................................................................................................8图表19:巴西周度发货量(万吨).....................................................................................................................8图表20:45港口到港量(万吨).......................................................................................................................8图表21:45港口铁矿库存(万吨)...................................................................................................................9图表22:大中型钢厂进口铁矿库存可用天数(天).............................................................................................9图表23:焦炭现货价格(天津港准一级)(元/吨)............................................................................................9图表24:230家独立焦化厂焦炉生产率(%)....................................................................................................9图表25:焦炭港口、钢厂、焦企加总库存(万吨).............................................................................................9图表26:247家钢厂焦炭库存可用天数(天)....