Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. (AVAH): 执行稳健，保守财年指引，医疗补助相关不确定性

Brian Tanquilut * | Equity Analyst(615) 963-8338 | btanquilut@jefferies.comMeghan Holtz * | Equity Associate+1 (212) 708-2876 | mholtz1@jefferies.comJack Slevin, CFA * | Equity Analyst(212) 284-4686 | jslevin@jefferies.com Company DescriptionAveannaAveanna is a leading diversified healthcare platform that provides care to high cost and medically complex patient populations through its threesegments: Private Duty Services (home-based hourly skilled nursing care for medically complex patients), Medical Solutions (nutrition for patientswho are unable to consume or digest food normally), and Home Health & Hospice. Aveanna has a 30-state footprint with more than 42,000 caregiversacross 245 locations.Company Valuation/RisksAveannaPrice target derived by applying AVAH's avg EV/EBITDA multiple. Risks include elevated leverage, wage inflation, holder concentration; reimbursement,and regulations.Analyst Certification:I, Brian Tanquilut, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.I, Meghan Holtz, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.I, Jack Slevin, CFA, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subjectcompany(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressedin this research report.As is the case with all Jefferies employees, the analyst(s) responsible for the coverage of the financial instruments discussed in this report receivescompensation based in part on the overall performance of the firm, including investment banking income. We seek to update our research as appropriate, butvarious regulations may prevent us from doing so. Aside from certain industry reports published on a periodic basis, the large majority of reports are publishedat irregular intervals as appropriate in the analyst's judgement.Investment Recommendation Record(Article 3(1)e and Article 7 of MAR)Recommendation PublishedRecommendation DistributedExplanation of Jefferies RatingsBuy - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of 15% or more within a 12-month period.Hold - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of plus 15% or minus 10% within a 12-month period.Underperform - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of minus 10% or less within a 12-month period.The expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) for Buy rated securities with an average security price consistently below $10 is 20% or more within a 12-month period as these companies are typically more volatile than the overall stock market. For Hold rated securities with an average security price consistentlybelow $10, the expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) is plus or minus 20% within a 12-month period. For Underperform rated securities with anaverage security price consistently below $10, the expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) is minus 20% or less within a 12-month period.NR - The investment rating and price target have been temporarily suspended. Such suspensions are in compliance with applicable regulations and/or Jefferiespolicies.CS - Coverage Suspended. Jefferies has suspended coverage of this company.NC - Not covered. Jefferies does not cover this company.Restricted - Describes issuers where, in conjunction with Jefferies engagement in certain transactions, company policy or applicable securities regulationsprohibit certain types of communications, including investment recommendations.Monitor - Describes securities whose company fundamentals and financials are being monitored, and for which no financial projections or opinions on theinvestment merits of the company are provided.Valuation MethodologyPlease see important disclosure information on pages 2 - 7 of this report.This report is intended for Jefferies clients only. Unauthorized distribution is prohibited. May 20, 2025 , 14:19 ET.May 20, 2025 , 14:19 ET.2 Jefferies' methodology for assigning ratings may include the following: market capitalization, maturity, growth/value, volatility and expected total return overthe next 12 months. The price targets are based on several methodologies, which may include, but are not restricted to, analyses of market r