请仔细阅读本报告末页声明作者分析师杨业伟执业证书编号:S0680520050001邮箱:yangyewei@gszq.com研究助理梁坤执业证书编号:S0680123090006邮箱:liangkun@gszq.com相关研究1、《固定收益定期:再论资金分歧》2025-05-182、《固定收益定期:资金波动,月内冲击高点或已过——流动性和机构行为跟踪》2025-05-173、《固定收益点评:抛券兑现浮盈,银行还有多少空间?》2025-05-15 P.2内容目录总指数:基本面高频指数平稳..............................................................................................................................4生产:化工开工率回升........................................................................................................................................6地产销售:新房销售同比持续为负.......................................................................................................................8基建投资:石油沥青开工率回升...........................................................................................................................9出口:义乌商品价格指数有所回升.....................................................................................................................10消费:乘用车厂家零售增加...............................................................................................................................12CPI:蔬菜价格继续回落....................................................................................................................................13PPI:原油价格有所回升....................................................................................................................................14交运:客运回升,航班回落...............................................................................................................................16库存:电解铝库存回落......................................................................................................................................17融资:地方债净融资回升,信用债净融资回落.....................................................................................................19风险提示..........................................................................................................................................................19图表目录图表1:基本面高频指数跟踪.............................................................................................................................5图表2:国盛固收基本面高频指数......................................................................................................................6图表3:利率债多空信号指数.............................................................................................................................6图表4:工业生产周频指数................................................................................................................................6图表5:重点电厂煤炭日耗................................................................................................................................6图表6:电炉开工率..........................................................................................................................................7图表7:聚酯开工率..........................................................................................................................................7图表8:钢胎样本企业开工率.............................................................................................................................7图表9:PTA开工率..........................................................................................................................................7图表10:地产销售周频指数...............................................................................................................................8图表11:30大中城市商品房成交面积................................................................................................................8图表12:100大中城市成交土地溢价率..............................................................................................................8图表13:十城二手房成交面积...........................................................................................................................8图表14:基建投资高频指数...............................................................................................................................9图表15:地炼开工率.........................................................................................................................................9图表16:水泥发运率.........................................................................................................................................9图表17:石油沥青开工率..................................................................................................................................9图表18:出口高频指数...................................................................................................................................10图表19:CCFI指数.........................................................................................................................................10图表20:义乌中国小商品指数.........................................................................................................................10图表21:RJ/CRB商品价格指数........................................................................................................................10图表22:韩国旬度出口增速.....................................................................................