威廉姆斯表示,开始考虑特朗普关税对价格的影响 2025-03-05 宏观策略(黄金) 威廉姆斯表示,开始考虑特朗普关税对价格的影响 金价震荡收涨重回2900美元上方,美国对墨西哥加拿大中国的关税生效后,反制措施也陆续被宣布,市场避险情绪增加推动金价上涨,不过随后美国又给加和墨留有谈判余地。 宏观策略(股指期货) 国新办发布《中国的芬太尼类物质管控》白皮书 A股市场表现出韧性,科技板块持续冲高。两会即将召开,2025宏观政策基调即将确定,建议持续跟踪政策面变化。 农产品(豆粕) 海关总署:暂停美国CHS等3家企业大豆输华资质 中美贸易战升级,但由于我国进口美豆比例不断下降,且2-3季度进口几乎完全来自巴西,贸易战利多影响更多是情绪上的,且对远月利多大于近月,继续关注中美关系发展。 有色金属(铜) 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 金川国际:2024年铜产量同比增2.9% 考虑到短期宏观预期反复风险较大,且基本面尚未彻底摆脱阶段偏弱现实,预计铜价短期震荡运行可能性更大,深跌或强势上涨可能性暂时不大,策略上建议耐心等待逢低布局多单机 能源化工(原油) 哈萨克斯坦2月石油产量28.7万吨/日 受OPEC+决定4月起增产影响,供应增长潜力和关税政策引发的风险偏好下降导致油价维持偏弱走势。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(黄金)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................51.4、宏观策略(股指期货)....................................................................................................................................................51.5、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................62、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、黑色金属(动力煤)........................................................................................................................................................62.2、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................72.4、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................82.5、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.6、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................92.7、农产品(玉米淀粉)......................................................................................................................................................102.8、农产品(玉米)..............................................................................................................................................................102.9、农产品(生猪)..............................................................................................................................................................102.10、有色金属(氧化铝)....................................................................................................................................................112.11、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................112.12、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................112.13、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................132.15、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................142.16、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................142.17、有色金属(多晶硅)....................................................................................................................................................152.18、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................16 2.20、能源化工(碳排放).....................................................................................................