AI智能总结
多数策略回撤,股票CTA均调整 2024年07月04日 曹洋首席分析师从业资格号:F3012297投资咨询号:Z0013048Tel:8621-63325888-3904Email:yang.cao@orientfutures.com ★本周市场回顾:(06.24-06.28) 股票市场,各大主要指数大幅收跌,沪深300周度收益为-0.97%,较之于中小盘的-3.12%和-3.15%的跌幅较小,本周各大类风格因子涨跌参半,其中账面市值比和盈利率因子录得显著正收益,剩余因子中残差波动率和非线性市值因子的跌幅最大。 商品市场收跌,南华综合指数-0.51%,分板块来看,农产品板块、能化板块、贵金属板块、有色金属板块和黑色板块上周收益分别为-1.81%、-0.16%、3.11%、-0.92%和-2.28%。风格因子方面,本周因子多数收涨,流动性和期限结构因子的涨幅最显著,其余因子对冲压力的跌幅较显著。 联系人徐凡从业资格号:F03107676Tel:8621-63325888-3975Email:fan.xu@orientfutures.com ★主要策略表现及配置建议: 联系人陈晓菲从业资格号:F03107718Tel:8621-63325888-2016Email:xiaofei.chen@orientfutures.com 本周各策略表现分化。量化多头策略,在跟踪管理人均录得正超额,相较前一周超额普遍有所提升,各类指增均有所表现,其中500和1000指增的超额较好。当前市场仍处于震荡筑底的阶段,阿尔法环境的不稳定性凸显。CTA策略转为回撤,量化CTA表现好于主观CTA。在跟踪量化管理人涨多跌少,各周期策略均有一定表现,中长周期策略相对优于中短周期策略,截面策略相对优于时序策略,基本面策略近期表现较好。市场中性策略盈利有所扩大。多头端,500指增和1000指增的超额相对稳定,相较上周有所提升;对冲端,IC贴水走阔,IM贴水微幅收敛,整体基差波动较小。 联系人李玲慧从业资格号:F03107545Tel:8621-63325888-1585Email:linghui.li@orientfutures.com ★FOF组合跟踪:(模拟组合,非实盘产品) 本期(2024.06.24-2024.07.01),稳健型FOF组合01基金净值从1.1658下降到1.1644,微幅下跌,区间累计收益-0.12%,区间最大回撤为0.12%,当前组合随着权益市场同步反弹,处在净值震荡周期,整体表现较为稳健。成立以来,年化总收益为6.52%,年化主动收益为12.03%,夏普比率为0.54,卡玛比率为0.69,主动收益表现较好,年化总风险为6.58%,年化主动风险为8.22%,最大回撤为5.14%,优于中证FOF基金。产品的累计收益在近一周,近一月,近一年,成立至今区间表现优于中证FOF基金;分别有77.42%的月份,72.73%的季度,66.67%的年度表现优于中证FOF基金。 目录 1、一周市场表现回顾................................................................................................................................................................32、各策略周度表现及配置建议..............................................................................................................................................53、FOF组合跟踪...................................................................................................................................................................103.1.本期表现............................................................................................................................................................................103.2.历史表现............................................................................................................................................................................103.3.业绩对比............................................................................................................................................................................124、风险提示..............................................................................................................................................................................12 图表目录 图表1:股票市场表现.............................................................................................................................................................4图表2:全市场股票风格因子收益(本周).........................................................................................................................4图表3:全市场股票风格因子收益(今年以来).................................................................................................................4图表4:商品市场表现.............................................................................................................................................................5图表5:商品市场风格因子收益(本周).............................................................................................................................5图表6:商品市场风格因子收益(今年以来).....................................................................................................................5图表7:各策略表现.................................................................................................................................................................6图表8:精选策略指数表现.....................................................................................................................................................6图表9:指数增强策略管理人表现.........................................................................................................................................7图表10:市场中性策略管理人表现.......................................................................................................................................8图表11:量化CTA策略管理人表现.....................................................................................................................................8图表12:套利策略管理人表现...............................................................................................................................................9图表13:组合及持仓净值表现............................................................................................................................................11图表14:组合持仓分布........................................................................................................................................................11图表15:持仓表现.................................................................................................................................................................12附表16:商品市场风格因子构造方式.................................................................................................................................13 1、一周市场表现回顾 本