
拜登和特朗普获得参加美国总统大选首次辩论资格 2024-06-21 外汇期货 拜登和特朗普获得参加美国总统大选首次辩论资格 美国新屋开工明显不及预期,房地产市场持续弱势,美国经济下行压力增加,美元短期震荡。 股指期货 6月LPR按兵不动 A股再次打响3000点保卫战,拆分来看,市场估值虽有回落但支撑依然较强,疲弱的股市背后是黯淡的企业盈利预期。下一阶段我们认为三中全会的政策改革或将成为定价线索。 国债期货 住建部召开收购已建成存量商品房用作保障性住房工作会议 当前央行态度和市场观点之间出现分歧,若市场做多情绪过强、收益率曲线过平,警惕央行引导债市调整的风险。 黑色金属 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 前5月300城宅地成交面积下滑逾三成 本周钢联五大品种库存转而小幅回落,螺纹表需回升到235万吨,不过市场反应并不积极。当前基本面矛盾有限,价格回归中性估值后驱动有限,短期预计延续震荡格局。 有色金属 2024年5月金属硅出口量同比维持大增 盘面跟随现货市场下跌,但当主力合约落至12000元/吨左右时,短期内进一步催化盘面下跌的因素或有限,真正的趋势性力量或待集中注销阶段方能显现。 能源化工 欧盟对俄罗斯实施新一轮制裁,首次针对液化天然气 如果俄气转运比例与其他LNG等同的话,那么会有140万吨的LNG转口贸易量受到影响,接近20亿立方米。我们认为对于整个LNG市场的影响相对有限。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、外汇期货(美元指数)....................................................................................................................................................41.2、股指期货(沪深300/中证500/中证1000)..................................................................................................................41.3、股指期货(美股)............................................................................................................................................................51.4、国债期货(5年期国债/10年期国债)..........................................................................................................................62、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、贵金属(黄金)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................72.4、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.5、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................82.6、农产品(玉米)................................................................................................................................................................92.7、农产品(生猪)................................................................................................................................................................92.8、农产品(棉花)..............................................................................................................................................................102.9、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................102.10、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................112.11、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................112.12、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................122.13、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................132.15、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................142.16、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................142.17、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................152.18、能源化工(碳排放)....................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(天然气)....................................................................................................................................................152.20、能源化工(PX)............................................................................................................................................................16 2.21、能源化工(PTA)...............................................................