
上海新政出台后的首个周末部门楼盘热度增 加 2023-12-19 股指期货 上海新政出台后的首个周末部门楼盘热度增加 市场仍处于空头格局中,近期的政策利好对于A股影响偏弱,我们认为其实质主要在于预期路径依旧不明,故虽然估值较低,安全边际已经凸显,但这个阶段或许仍要维持更长时间。 联系人 李玲慧高级分析师(FOF研究)从业资格号:F03107545Tel:Email:linghui.li@orientfutures.com 国债期货 央行逆回购单日净回笼410亿元 央行逆回购虽净回笼资金,但重启14天期逆回购向市场释放了呵护跨年流动性的信号,曲线陡峭化下行。 贵金属 美联储古尔斯比称,如遇外部冲击,已准备好调整政策 金价震荡收涨盘中波动增加,市场对美联储的降息预期继续修正,但红海地区风险推动油价上涨并引发避险情绪,相对利多金价。美联储官员讲话继续给市场的降息预期降温 黑色金属 澳大利亚政府更新“关键矿产清单”,铁矿未被列入其中 整体成材累库压力一般。减产难以伴随太深跌势,整体价格预期维持震荡市,观望为主。 有色金属 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 洛阳钼业完成出售NPM铜金矿80%股权的交易 考虑到宏观利多因素逐步消化,且国内显性库存累积预期,我们预计铜价高位震荡为主,短线可适当参与逢高沽空。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、股指期货(美股)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、股指期货(沪深300/中证500/中证1000)..................................................................................................................41.3、国债期货(5年期国债/10年期国债)..........................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、贵金属(黄金)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................62.3、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................72.4、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.5、有色金属(铜)................................................................................................................................................................82.6、有色金属(碳酸锂)........................................................................................................................................................92.7、有色金属(工业硅)......................................................................................................................................................102.8、有色金属(镍)..............................................................................................................................................................102.9、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................112.10、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................112.11、能源化工(电力)........................................................................................................................................................112.12、能源化工(PX)............................................................................................................................................................122.13、能源化工(LLDPE/PP)................................................................................................................................................122.14、能源化工(PTA)..........................................................................................................................................................132.15、能源化工(甲醇)........................................................................................................................................................132.16、能源化工(天然气)....................................................................................................................................................142.17、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................142.18、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................142.19、能源化工(苯乙烯)....................................................................................................................................................152.20、能源化工(纯碱)........................................................................................................................................................152.21、能源化工(玻璃)........................................................................................................................................................16 2.22、农产品(豆油/棕榈油).................................................................................................