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赛轮液体黄金轮胎再出新品[Table_Industry]醋酸、纯碱等化工品价格上行 证券研究报告 行业研究 2023年12月10日 本期内容提要:[Table_Summary] 投资评级上次评级 洪英东化工行业分析师执业编号:S1500520080002联系电话:+86010-83326848邮箱:hongyingdong@cindasc.com ➢基础化工板块市场表现回顾:本周(12月1日-12月8日),基础化工子板块中,农化制品板块下跌1.71%,化学纤维板块下跌1.72%,橡胶板块下跌1.79%,非金属材料Ⅱ板块下跌1.88%,化学原料板块下跌2.07%,化学制品板块下跌2.73%,塑料Ⅱ板块下跌2.9%。 尹柳化工行业研究助理联系电话:+86010-83326712邮箱:yinliu@cindasc.com ➢本周国内纯碱市场价格继续上行。截止到本周四(12月7日),轻质纯碱市场均价为2783元/吨,较上周四上涨163元/吨;重质纯碱市场均价为2940元/吨,较上周四上涨141元/吨。供应方面,检修厂家陆续恢复,整体厂家供应较上周虽有小幅上行;近期厂家新增产能持续释放,阿拉善纯碱三线已开,近期持续出产试制品。需求方面,下游用户持续刚需采购,近期下游用户按单领货为主,目前买涨情绪仍较浓。(来自百川盈孚) ➢重点标的:赛轮轮胎、确成股份、通用股份。 ➢风险因素:宏观经济不景气导致需求下降的风险;行业周期下原材料成本上涨或产品价格下降的风险;经济扩张政策不及预期的风险 信达证券股份有限公司CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD北京市西城区闹市口大街9号院1号楼邮编:100031 目录 本周市场行情回顾...................................................................................................................4行业基础数据..........................................................................................................................5重点行业跟踪..........................................................................................................................8风险因素...............................................................................................................................23重点公司...............................................................................................................................21 表目录 表1:主要化工产品涨跌幅排名..............................................................................................7 图目录 图1:申万一级行业一周表现............................................................................................................4图2:申万基础化工二级子行业一周表现........................................................................................4图3:中国化工产品价格指数(CCPI)................................................................................................5图4:布伦特原油价格(美元/桶)...................................................................................................5图5:中国天然气到岸价(美元/百万英热)...................................................................................6图6:动力煤与炼焦煤参考价(元/吨)...........................................................................................6图7:轮胎原材料价格指数................................................................................................................8图8:我国全钢胎开工率(%).........................................................................................................9图9:我国半钢胎开工率(%).........................................................................................................9图10:中国出口集装箱运价指数(CCFI).....................................................................................9图11:波罗的海货运指数(FBX)..................................................................................................9图12:钾肥价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................................12图13:尿素价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................................12图14:磷矿石价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................12图15:草甘膦及草铵膦价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................12图16:磷酸一铵价格(元/吨).......................................................................................................13图17:磷酸二铵价格(元/吨).......................................................................................................13图18:申万行业指数:农药...............................................................................................................14图19:现货价:甲醇(港口):国内(元/吨)......................................................................................15图20:聚乙烯价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................16图21:聚丙烯价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................16图22:安赛蜜价格(万元/吨).......................................................................................................17图23:三氯蔗糖价格(万元/吨)...................................................................................................17图24:维生素A价格(元/公斤)..................................................................................................18图25:维生素C、维生素E价格(元/公斤)...............................................................................18图26:制冷剂价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................................18图27:氢氟酸及萤石价格(元/吨)...............................................................................................18图28:轻质与重质纯碱价格(元/吨)...........................................................................................19图29:纯碱行业开工率(%) .........................................................................................................19图30:全国纯碱库存(万吨).................................................................................................