基本金属日报

LME金属价格表1：LME价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍金属收盘价日涨跌升贴水升贴水变化铜7676.5-0.10%59.00.0数据来源：金瑞期货研究所铝2223.00.00%-15.2 9.9铅1853.0-0.03%-14.2 2.8锌3117.50.60%15.82.3锡21700.00.42%65.010.0镍24365.0-2.54%-80.0 -13.0 数据来源：Wind，金瑞期货研究所表2：国内期货价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍金属收盘价日涨跌成交量持仓量铜627600.45%77123131777铝18670-0.27%192004144981铅149600.40%2754440196锌247200.67%15277095067锡1824002.66%14389829721镍2020003.90%14217984215数据来源：wind，金瑞期货研究所，注：标的为主力合约基本金属日报2022年9月23日金瑞观点评级：★★金瑞期货研究所请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分1金瑞网站：www.jrqh.com.cn客服热线：400-888-8208联系人：罗平电话：0755-83679730邮箱：luoping@jrqh.com.cn从业资格号：F3001801金瑞期货有色组李 丽 曾童钟明真 罗平周维刚 龚鸣吴梓杰铜：LME铜涨0.33%,报7684.0美元/吨。上海升水535，广东420。下游备货意愿一般，升水有所下行。近期美元迅速走强，人民币汇率破7，外盘铜价承压。通胀数据大超预期后，市场对后续美联储加息节奏悲观，宏观压力加大，但全球库存持续保持较低水平，高back结构可能持续。昨日议息会议整体偏鹰铜价近期预计震荡偏弱，盘面下方建议观察60000-61000一线支撑情况，向上空间有限。但进口不畅、供应增量释放缓慢之下，现货偏紧预计维持到10月后，高Back结构可能持续。投资策略：短期宏观变数加剧，短线建议观望。临近订单随用随采。风险提示：中美政治局势变化。国内外货币政策、财政政策变化、国内防疫政策变化。铅：隔夜伦铅下跌0.03%至1853美元，国内沪铅下跌0.37%至14920元。国内现货小幅升水维持，部分维持观望。本周交易所注册仓单流出，再生价差窄幅波动，节前仍有终端补库预期，预计铅价调整空间有限。国内沪铅价格波动区间【14800,15200】元，伦铅波动区间【1850,2000】美元。投资策略：价格区间下沿少量买入，国内季节性表现低预期跨市套利暂观望。风险点：地缘政治冲突再度升级。45006500850010500125002022-04-202022-07-20LME铜1400340054002022/4/202022/7/20LME 锌140021400414002022-04-202022-07-20LME 镍 页码一、金瑞观点1金瑞观点1铜锌镍价格走势1表1：LME价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍1表2：国内期货价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍11二、铜、铝、铅、锌21、国外市场数据3表3：LME期货持仓3表4：LME期货持仓分布3表5：CFTC持仓分析 -- COMEX 铜3表6：国内现货铜升贴水3表7：LME库存日统计 - 铜4表8：LME库存日统计 - 铝4表9：LME库存日统计 - 铅5表10：LME库存日统计 - 锌6表11：LME库存日统计 - 锡6表12：LME库存日统计 - 镍72. 国内期货市场数据8表11：上海期货交易所库存8表12：上期所主力合约机构持仓排名83. 国内现货市场数据9表13：现货价格9表14：相关产品报价9表15：内外比价及进口盈亏9三、指标说明10四、免责声明11请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分2基本金属日报2022年9月23日目录 表3：LME期货持仓品种持仓量日变化铜235027-0.94%铝557633-1.15%铅89036-0.38%锌191699-2.16%锡116652.32%镍147107-0.35%数据来源：彭博，金瑞期货研究所表5：CFTC持仓分析 -- COMEX 铜多头空头套期多头空头多头空头多头空头9月13日44574635602090678682581701441621426361373815264数据来源：CFTC网站，金瑞期货研究所表6：国内现货铜升贴水长江有色升贴水上海有色升贴水上海物贸升贴水最小最大最小最大最低最高最低最高最低最高平均价2022/9/227107505005708810480100951054802022/9/217307705506109010480100951054902022/9/208108506406809010480100951056102022/9/199009407207809010480100951057502022/9/16940980770880901048010095105800注：数据来源为wind，上海保税库为外高桥市场数据 -- 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分3非报告持仓基本金属日报1. 国外市场数据 -- 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍非商业商业总计洋山铜溢价上海电解铜CIF(提单）溢价上海保税库溢价2022年9月23日日期报告持仓 表7：LME库存日统计 - 铜地区地点期始库存入库出库期末库存库存变化注册仓单注销仓单新注销注销占比迪拜#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!仁川00#N/A Requesting Data...00#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!0光阳#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!0釜山#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...29700#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!柔佛#N/A Requesting Data...00#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!巴生港#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0400#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!新加坡#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...500#N/A Requesting Data...850#VALUE!#VALUE!台湾#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...150#N/A Requesting Data...475#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!亚洲共计00150097530100850#VALUE!0安特卫普0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#VALUE!#VALUE!汉堡#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...17300200#VALUE!#VALUE!巴塞罗那0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!毕尔巴鄂#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!赫尔#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!0利物浦#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...00#VALUE!0来亨#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#VALUE!#VALUE!的里雅斯特#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...00#VALUE!#VALUE!鹿特丹#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...7825#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!弗利辛恩#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!赫尔辛堡000#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!欧洲共计0007825017300200#VALUE!3巴尔的摩3650#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!芝加哥#N/A Requesting Data...00#N/A Requesting Data...000#VALUE!#VALUE!莫比尔0#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requ