LME金属价格表1：LME价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍金属收盘价日涨跌升贴水升贴水变化铜7865.50.20%108.532.5数据来源：金瑞期货研究所铝2272.0-0.22%-11.5 -1.0 铅1900.5-0.45%-0.8 0.3锌3151.51.01%23.0-4.0 锡21400.02.61%144.0-13.5 镍21900.01.39%-37.0 21.0数据来源：Wind，金瑞期货研究所表2：国内期货价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍金属收盘价日涨跌成交量持仓量铜60550-0.64%123977163704铝18300-0.54%228109161583铅150300.23%3769151701锌23795-1.98%180533115293锡174720-2.67%13026237799镍172330-0.43%11898076773数据来源：wind，金瑞期货研究所，注：标的为主力合约金瑞网站：www.jrqh.com.cn客服热线：400-888-8208联系人：罗平电话：0755-83679730邮箱：luoping@jrqh.com.cn从业资格号：F3001801金瑞期货有色组李 丽 曾童钟明真 罗平周维刚 龚鸣吴梓杰基本金属日报2022年9月9日金瑞观点评级：★★金瑞期货研究所请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分1铜：LME铜涨2.98%,报7850.0美元/吨。上海升水425，广东升水615。近期现货干扰加剧，偏紧格局持续时间或超预期，一是粗铜紧张，部分华南炼厂减产，二是内蒙疫情，北方地区运输不畅，三是进口货源近期偏少。现货偏紧格局下，价格小幅反弹。当前节点低库存有一定支撑，当前反弹可能持续，但反弹高度预计有限，观察7800美金（沪铜62000）附近的阻力情况。且临近宏观流动性收紧节点，宏观现货存共振的风险，下行压力加大。策略：短期采购建议随用随采，远期订单采购暂不建议。现货偏紧下，价格趋势偏强，空头建议偏谨慎。风险：海外政策节奏、海外通胀数、国内疫情、国内政策与预期不符。锡：LME锡收于21400美元/吨，涨545美元/吨或2.61%；沪锡夜盘收于177830元/吨，涨2360元/吨或1.34%。锡价近期表现震荡，供应上有宽松预期，进口锡锭货源即将陆续到港，国内炼厂产量稳步修复，货源紧张局面有望缓解。但是锡矿生产成本，以及国内较低的库存对价格有支撑。锡价在过剩预期和低库存影响下表现震荡。展望未来，疫情带来消费的不确定性，光伏订单仍有韧性但拉动能力或有限，整体上看锡消费仍是表现不佳，故判断后续的反弹力度偏弱。45006500850010500125002022-04-042022-07-04LME铜1400340054002022/4/42022/7/4LME 锌140021400414002022-04-042022-07-04LME 镍 页码一、金瑞观点1金瑞观点1铜锌镍价格走势1表1：LME价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍1表2：国内期货价格 - 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍11二、铜、铝、铅、锌21、国外市场数据3表3：LME期货持仓3表4：LME期货持仓分布3表5：CFTC持仓分析 -- COMEX 铜3表6：国内现货铜升贴水3表7：LME库存日统计 - 铜4表8：LME库存日统计 - 铝4表9：LME库存日统计 - 铅5表10：LME库存日统计 - 锌6表11：LME库存日统计 - 锡6表12：LME库存日统计 - 镍72. 国内期货市场数据8表11：上海期货交易所库存8表12：上期所主力合约机构持仓排名83. 国内现货市场数据9表13：现货价格9表14：相关产品报价9表15：内外比价及进口盈亏9三、指标说明10四、免责声明11基本金属日报2022年9月9日目录请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分2 表3：LME期货持仓品种持仓量日变化铜2443330.95%铝563142-0.13%铅889500.89%锌191328-0.66%锡11927-0.48%镍149488-0.10%数据来源：彭博，金瑞期货研究所表5：CFTC持仓分析 -- COMEX 铜多头空头套期多头空头多头空头多头空头8月30日46105693601700682023570381451341434041325614986数据来源：CFTC网站，金瑞期货研究所表6：国内现货铜升贴水长江有色升贴水上海有色升贴水上海物贸升贴水最小最大最小最大最低最高最低最高最低最高平均价2022/9/85205604004509310590110951154002022/9/74805203704309310590110951153852022/9/65405803804409310590110951154502022/9/55105503804209510890110951153402022/9/2480520340390951089011095115325注：数据来源为wind，上海保税库为外高桥上海保税库溢价2022年9月9日日期报告持仓非商业商业总计洋山铜溢价上海电解铜CIF(提单）溢价市场数据 -- 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分3非报告持仓基本金属日报1. 国外市场数据 -- 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡、镍 表7：LME库存日统计 - 铜地区地点期始库存入库出库期末库存库存变化注册仓单注销仓单新注销注销占比迪拜#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!仁川#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!光阳#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!釜山#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!柔佛#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!巴生港#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!新加坡#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!台湾#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!亚洲共计0000000#VALUE!0安特卫普#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!汉堡#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!巴塞罗那#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!毕尔巴鄂#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!赫尔#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!利物浦#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!来亨#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#VALUE!#VALUE!的里雅斯特#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requesting Data...#N/A Requ