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大订单驱动业绩高速增长,产能扩建奠定长期发展基础

博腾股份,3003632022-08-22沈文文中航证券港***
大订单驱动业绩高速增长,产能扩建奠定长期发展基础

1 ◆ ◆ ◆ ◆ ◆ ◆ ◆ 报表预测单位:百万元会计年度2019202020212022E2023E2024E利润表 营业收入1,551.302,071.883,105.157,430.147,454.968,713.28 减: 营业成本964.281,208.351,820.843,860.523,913.404,597.06 税金及附加13.225.6814.0633.6333.7539.44 主营业务利润573.80857.841,270.253,535.993,507.824,076.78 减: 销售费用45.1676.7197.02230.33231.85272.73 管理费用197.97226.94289.61705.86745.50871.33 研发费用122.55157.84263.82520.11588.94731.92 财务费用7.1243.06-1.89 40.8831.39-3.89 经营性利润201.00353.29621.692,038.801,910.142,204.69 加: 资产减值损失-30.96 -25.89 -22.52 -38.64 -38.77 -45.31 信用减值损失1.33-3.78 -41.40 -35.42 -35.54 -41.54 其他经营损益-0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 投资收益7.8310.77-12.43 -1.32 -3.01 -4.01 公允价值变动损益0.024.145.640.000.000.00 资产处置收益0.000.03-3.21 -1.59 -1.86 -2.00 其他收益15.4813.6717.8216.0516.2416.44 营业利润194.69352.24565.601,977.881,847.212,128.28 加: 其他非经营损益0.000.000.000.000.000.00 营业外收入4.3921.922.219.158.977.90 减: 营业外支出5.6610.4218.9813.9115.0215.31 利润总额193.42363.74548.831,973.121,841.162,120.87 减: 所得税13.8040.5573.24263.32245.71283.04 净利润179.62323.19475.591,709.801,595.451,837.83 减: 少数股东损益-5.93 -1.22 -48.33 -98.44 -100.97 -124.55 归属母公司股东净利润185.55324.42523.921,808.241,696.421,962.39资产负债表 货币资金1,174.681,262.051,216.872,972.062,981.993,975.12 交易性金融资产0.224.142.912.912.912.91 应收票据0.000.000.000.000.000.00 应收账款362.60405.331,087.721,931.021,937.482,264.50 预付账款11.9516.9132.5765.2865.5076.55 其他应收款25.4622.9566.74121.32121.73142.28 存货342.87429.54757.391,450.271,470.141,726.97 其他流动资产8.7241.1046.73100.32100.66117.65 长期股权投资0.4225.00377.13361.35343.01323.35 金融资产投资343.63339.480.000.000.000.00 投资性房地产5.444.884.71220.87620.60953.90 固定资产和在建工程1,307.941,552.222,316.502,248.171,920.931,584.77 无形资产和开发支出333.40331.15411.23389.43367.63345.83 其他非流动资产38.1362.18241.54209.65177.75177.75 资产总计3,955.484,496.946,562.0410,072.6510,110.3111,691.58 短期借款0.00144.26389.661,375.03248.060.00 交易性金融负债0.000.0099.6399.6399.6399.63 应付票据206.99217.69514.70871.82883.761,038.15 应付账款208.56294.96596.351,013.901,027.791,207.34 预收账款23.830.000.0038.0538.1744.62 合同负债0.0028.7963.6885.2085.4999.92 其他应付款102.18134.13330.56512.81519.84610.65 长期借款241.74107.02231.34173.8194.6424.62 其他负债107.86176.86150.03430.00442.37517.84 负债合计891.161,103.702,375.954,600.253,439.753,642.77 股本542.75542.75544.40544.40544.40544.40 资本公积1,589.181,634.941,798.561,798.561,798.561,798.56 留存收益934.751,213.751,638.593,023.344,322.475,825.27 归属母公司股东权益3,066.683,391.433,981.565,366.316,665.448,168.24 少数股东权益-2.37 1.81204.53106.095.12-119.43 股东权益合计3,064.323,393.244,186.095,472.416,670.568,048.81 负债和股东权益合计3,955.484,496.946,562.0410,072.6510,110.3111,691.58 投入资本(IC)2,408.042,867.594,903.817,117.967,109.987,680.34现金流量表 资本支出175.27383.54763.58500.00500.00500.00 自由现金流-14.28 -84.23 -806.17 -453.17 1,620.211,253.85 短期借款增加-641.86 144.26245.40985.36-1,126.96 -248.06 长期带息债务增加-13.62 -134.72 124.32-57.53 -79.17 -70.02 股权筹资额0.000.000.00 支付普通股股利55.7765.39105.02423.48397.30459.58 长期投资344.93-36.13 -146.19 13.3514.6215.24 经营性现金净流量351.37504.37451.951,779.952,131.992,253.67 投资性现金净流量174.55-429.26 -916.17 -488.24 -487.24 -486.76 筹资性现金净流量-804.81 51.95350.22463.48-1,634.82 -773.78 现金流量净额-274.32 100.36-123.05 1,755.199.93993.14 货币资金的期初余额1,345.701,071.381,171.741,216.872,972.062,981.99 货币资金的期末余额1,174.681,262.051,216.872,972.062,981.993,975.12 企业自由现金流-14.28 -84.23 -806.17 -453.17 1,620.211,253.85 权益自由现金流-676.39 -112.95 -434.81 439.24386.87939.14