青年人的期许及其伴侣关系与生育决策的影响因素

What youngpeople wantand whatshapes theirdecisions aboutrelationshipsand parenthood Findings from theDemographic Futures Survey2026 United NationsUnited NationsPopulation FundPopulation Fund Acknowledgements Authors:Priscilla Idele (UNFPA), Elizabeth Wilkins (UNFPA), Alessio Cangiano (UNFPA), Arnstein Aassve(Bocconi University), Elisa Latora (Bocconi University) and Luca Di Casola (Bocconi University) Contributors:Letizia Mencarini, Chen Peng, Samuel Plach (Bocconi University), Derrick Demeveng,Lindsay Katz and Huiyong Kim (UNFPA) Lead Technical Advisers:Priscilla Idele, Alessio Cangiano and Elizabeth Wilkins (UNFPA) External Advisers:Arnstein Aassve and Letizia Mencarini (Bocconi University) Strategic Oversight:Priscilla Idele (UNFPA) Expert Advisory Committee and Reviewers:Julia Bunting, Jennie Greaney, Sandra Tumwesigye(UNFPA), Nurudeen Alhassan (African Institute for Development Policy), Eva Beaujouan (University ofVienna), Alice Cheng (Academia Sinica), Naa Dodoo (African Institute for Development Policy), AnneGauthier (Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, University of Groningen), Reiko Hayashi(Japanese National Institute of Population and Social Security Research), Apoorva Jadhav (PopulationReference Bureau), Ester Lazzari (University of Vienna), Livia Montana (University of Southern California),Monika Mynarska (Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University), Ignacio Pardo (Universidad De La República),Tomas Sobotka (Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences), Nahla Tawab (PopulationCouncil) and Laura Wronski (Google) Data Collection:Kantar Lightspeed and Geo Poll Editorial:David Mountain (Scriptoria) Design:Upasana Young (GlowDesign) Communications, Advocacy and Web Design:Enes Champo, Jacqueline Daldin, Selinde Dulckeit, AnnaJefferys, Hanno Ranck and Rebecca Zerzan (UNFPA) Operations and Administrative Support:Elsa Dufay, Truphena Kioko and Pamella Njeru (UNFPA) Funding for theDemographic Futures Surveywas generously provided by the Gates Foundation,the Ministry of Data and Statistics of the Republic of Korea, and the Children and Families Agency,Government of Japan. Copyright © 2026 United Nations Population Fund Cover photo ©UNFPA Indonesia How to cite this publication:United Nations Population Fund, 2026. Lives, Choices and Futures: WhatYoung People Want and What Shapes their Decisions about Relationships and Parenthood – Findings fromtheDemographic Futures Survey2026. New York: UNFPA. Disclaimer:The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do notnecessarily reflect the views or positions of any entities they represent. Table of contents 07 08 Key findings of the survey09Life goals, future outlook and social media.....................09Partnerships and relationships............................09Parenthood aspirations and realities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Chapter 1: Introduction11 Evidence from previous UNFPA research12TheDemographic Futures Survey13This report15 Chapter 2: Methodology overview17 Map of countries in which theDemographic Futures Survey18was conducted Chapter 3: Life goals, future outlook and Internet and social media use21 Life goals22Feelings about the future23What worries young people?24How young people perceive opportunities and inequalities27Social media use30 Chapter 4: Forming partnerships and starting family life35 Attitudes towards family situations36Partnership and living arrangements40Ideal versus actual partnership and living arrangements41Partnership aspirations and current relationship status44How people met their current partner47How young people are looking to meet partners49Motivations for partnership50Barriers to partnership51 Chapter 5: Parenthood aspirations and realities53 Lifetime fertility ideals54Reported fertility ideals and achieved family size57Parental status and aspirations among adults surveyed aged 35–3959Preconditions for parenthood62Motivations for parenthood63Barriers to parenthood65 Chapter 6: Conclusion67 Many young people want partnerships, but aspiration and circumstances69do not always alignYoung people want families, but conditions matter69Optimism coexists with worries about the future71Gender norms continue to shape family life71Where young people live and their social status shape the transition72to adulthoodAreas for policy consideration72 Methodological annex74 A1Survey design and scope74 Data collection76Piloting and quality assurance76A2Sample77RepresentativenessA3Post-stratification weighting79Population targets79Weight construction79Respondents outside the scope of weighted analysis79 List of figures Figure 3.1Percentage of respondents by perceived importance of key life goals. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22Figure 3.2Percentage of respondents by extent to which they feel positive about the future, by regional grouping. . . . . . .23and country income groupFigure 3.3Percentage of responde