巴克莱新兴市场全球预测与金融指标

indicators We present Barclays’ global forecasts for GDP, inflation,current accounts, government balances, monetary policyrates, and FX. Also shown is a summary of economic and Christian Keller+44 (0) 20 7773 2031christian.keller@barclays.comBarclays, UK Nestor Rodriguez+1 212 4125 564nestor.rodriguez@barclays.com •Overview of economic and financial indicators•Global forecasts •External and government balances •Officialinterest rates and forecast•FX forecasts and forwards Analyst(s) Certification(s):We, Nestor Rodriguez and Christian Keller, hereby certify (1) that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our personal views about any or all of the subject securities or issuers referred to in this research report and (2) no part of our compensation was, is or will be directly orindirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report. Important Disclosures:Barclays Research is produced by the Investment Bank of Barclays Bank PLC and itsaffiliates(collectively and each individually, "Barclays"). All authors contributing to this research report are Research Analysts unless otherwise indicated. The publication date at the top of the report reflectsthe local time where the report was produced and maydifferfrom the release date provided in GMT. Availability of Disclosures:For current important disclosures regarding any issuers which are the subject of this research report please refer to https:// publicresearch.barclays.com or alternatively send a written request to: Barclays Research Compliance, 745 Seventh Avenue, 13th Floor, New York, NY Barclays Capital Inc. and/or one of itsaffiliatesdoes and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investorsshould be aware that Barclays may have a conflict of interest that couldaffectthe objectivity of this report. Barclays Capital Inc. and/or one of itsaffiliatesregularly trades, generally deals as principal and generally provides liquidity (as market maker or otherwise) in the debt securities that are thesubject of this research report (and related derivatives thereof). Barclays trading desks may have either a long and / or short position in such securities,other financial instruments and / or derivatives, which may pose a conflict with the interests of investing customers. Where permitted and subject toappropriate information barrier restrictions, Barclays fixed income research analysts regularly interact with its trading desk personnel regardingcurrent market conditions and prices. Barclays fixed income research analysts receive compensation based on various factors including, but notlimited to, the quality of their work, the overall performance of the firm (including the profitability of the Investment Banking Department), theprofitability and revenues of the Markets business and the potential interest of the firm's investing clients in research with respect to the asset class In order to access Barclays Statement regarding Research Dissemination Policies and Procedures, please refer to https://publicresearch.barclays.com/S/RD.htm. In order to access Barclays Research Conflict Management Policy Statement, please refer to: https:// Disclosure(s) regarding Information SourcesBloomberg® is a trademark and service mark of Bloomberg Finance L.P. and itsaffiliates(collectively “Bloomberg”) and the Bloomberg Indices are trademarks of Bloomberg. Bloomberg or Bloomberg’s licensors own all proprietary rights in the Bloomberg Indices. Bloomberg does not approve orendorse this material, or guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information herein, or make any warranty, express or implied, as to the results All pricing information is indicative only. Unless otherwise indicated, prices are sourced from LSEG Data & Analytics and reflect the closing price in therelevant trading market, which may not be the last available price at the time of publication. Types of investment recommendations produced by Barclays FICC Research:In addition to any ratings assigned under Barclays’ formal rating systems, this publication may contain investment recommendations in the form of trade ideas, thematic screens, scorecards or portfolio recommendations that have been produced by analysts in FICC Research. Any such investmentrecommendations produced by non-Credit Research teams shall remain open until they are subsequently amended, rebalanced or closed in a future Disclosure of other investment recommendations produced by Barclays FICC Research:Barclays FICC Research may have published other investment recommendations in respect of the same securities/instruments recommended in this research report during the preceding 12 months. To view all investment recommendations published by Barclays FICC Research in the preceding 12months please refer to https://live.barcap.com/go/research/Recommendations. Barclays does not assign ratings to asset backed securities. Barclays Capital I