每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:量价齐升加速上行......................................................................................................................3国债期货:继续关注资金面边际变化............................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:供应整体宽松盘面压力较大..........................................................................................................5白糖:国内外糖价弱势....................................................................................................................................5油脂板块:油脂整体震荡运行........................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:玉米现货稳定,玉米期货底部震荡...................................................................................7生猪:出栏压力增加价格整体下行..............................................................................................................8花生:现货偏弱,花生盘面窄幅震荡............................................................................................................9苹果:出货量下降苹果价格震荡................................................................................................................10棉花-棉纱:美棉有所上涨郑棉有所支撑...................................................................................................10 黑色金属 钢材:现实和成本的矛盾下钢价维持震荡..................................................................................................12双焦:资金博弈激烈,关注底部支撑..........................................................................................................12铁矿:终端需求低位,矿价偏弱运行..........................................................................................................13铁合金:供需弱稳,底部震荡......................................................................................................................14 有色金属 贵金属:美债收益率压力较高贵金属弱势运行........................................................................................15铜:宏观反复,铜价持续震荡......................................................................................................................16氧化铝:中东短期协议达成氧化铝现货仍偏紧........................................................................................17电解铝:美伊达成五项要点铝价回吐昨日涨幅.........................................................................................17铸造铝合金:美伊达成短期协议关注价差波动........................................................................................18锌:区间震荡为主..........................................................................................................................................18铅:供需双弱铅价区间震荡.........................................................................................................................19镍:宏观环境反复,镍价弱势震荡..............................................................................................................20不锈钢:震荡消化高位风险..........................................................................................................................21 工业硅:逢高沽空..........................................................................................................................................21多晶硅:短期观望,等待更高安全边际......................................................................................................22碳酸锂:下游低位备货意愿较强..................................................................................................................23锡:锡价或宽幅震荡......................................................................................................................................23 航运及碳排放 集运:短期海峡通行数量有所改善,关注MSK28开舱价格.....................................................................25干散货运价:步入夏季亚洲电力需求抬升,矿石能源货盘修复带动大船租金回升..............................26碳排放:中国碳价持续震荡,欧盟碳市场行业支持声加大......................................................................27 能源化工 原油:伊朗暂获售油许可..............................................................................................................................29沥青:盘面跟随原油下跌,现货坚挺..........................................................................................................29燃料油:关注海峡通及浮仓消化具体现实..................................................................................................30LPG:地缘渐入尾声........................................................................................................................................31天然气:高位震荡..........................................................................................................................................31PX&PTA:TA维持去库格局,现货基差偏强................................................................................................32BZ&EB:苯乙烯供应回归,基差走弱...........................................................................................................33乙二醇:乙二醇库存持续去化中..................................................................................................................34短纤:加工差低位..........................................................................................................................................35瓶片:加工费走缩.............................