老挝人民民主共和国减排计划评估和未来基于成果的减排计划方案

Final Assessment Report © 2026 The World Bank1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000; Internet:www.worldbank.org Some rights reserved This work is a product of The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in thiswork do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governmentsthey represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data included in thiswork and does not assume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information, orliability with respect to the use of or failure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions setforth. The boundaries, colors, denominations, links/footnotes and other information shown in this work donot imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or theendorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. The citation of works authored by others does not mean theWorld Bank endorses the views expressed by those authors or the content of their works. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of theprivileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of itsknowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, fornon-commercialpurposes as long as fullattribution to this work is given. Attribution—Please cite the work as follows: “World Bank.2026.Assessment of Lao PDR’s EmissionReduction Program and Options for Future Emission Reductions Results-based Programs.© WorldBank.” Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World BankPublications, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625;e-mail:pubrights@worldbank.org. Cover photo: Kuang Si Waterfall, Luang Prabang, Lao PDR© Manir Ryne / Ecosecurities Swiss Sarl. Used with the permission of Manir Ryne / Ecosecurities SwissSarl. Further permission required for reuse. Acknowledgements This report was prepared with support and collaboration from the Lao Department of Forestry in the Ministryof Agriculture and Environment, provincial and district offices.The analytical work, including stakeholderinterviews, field observations and underlying GIS analysis was undertaken by Ecosecurities Swiss SARL inpartnership with Soksay Chaluersap Consulting Sole Co., Ltd (Laos). Table of Contents Acronyms.............................................................................................................................................iii Executive Summary................................................................................................................................v 1.1Background and Context...................................................................................................................121.2Objectives and Scope of the Assessment.........................................................................................14 2.1Overall Assessment Approach..........................................................................................................16 3.1I-GFLL and GFLL Summary.................................................................................................................173.2Key observations on ERP design.......................................................................................................18 4Drivers of Deforestation and Forest Degradation...........................................................................22 4.1Deforestation Trend..........................................................................................................................224.2Direct Drivers of Deforestation.........................................................................................................224.3Indirect and Underlying Drivers........................................................................................................324.4ERP Design and Alignment of Interventions with Evolving Drivers..................................................38 5Assessment of ERP Implementation and Effectiveness of RBPs.......................................................405.1Governance, Coordination, and Institutional Capacity.....................................................................40 5.2Financial Management and Fund Flow Constraints..........................................................................415.3Operational Capacity and Sub-national Implementation.................................................................425.4Community-Level Implementation, Safeguards, and Inclusion........................................................435.5Key Issues and Lessons Identified...............................................................................