您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [招银国际]:1QFY27 review: solid Agentforce growth;accelerating capital return - 发现报告

1QFY27 review: solid Agentforce growth;accelerating capital return

2026-05-29 Saiyi HE,Wentao LU,Ye TAO,Shuyin GUO 招银国际 米软绵gogo
报告封面

1QFY27 review: solid Agentforce growth;accelerating capital return Target PriceUS$288.00(Previous TPUS$320.00)Up/Downside63.5%Current PriceUS$176.17 Salesforceannounced 1QFY27results: total revenuegrew by 13% YoY toUS$11.1bn, in line withBloombergconsensus estimate; non-GAAP operatingincome increased by 22% YoY to US$3.87bn, 5% ahead of consensus estimatethanks to theenhanced operatingefficiencyfromAI.Agentforce and Data 360maintained strong momentum, with ARR up by over 200% YoY to US$3.4bn in1QFY27. Looking ahead,managementguidestotal revenue to grow by 10-11%YoYto US$11.27-11.35bn in 2QFY27E,and remains upbeat on thereaccelerationoforganic revenue growth in2HFY27E. Supportedby the solidbusinessgrowth, the company enteredUS$25bnshare repurchase program,reducing 1QFY27 total share count by 11%. As a result, we raise our FY27-29Enon-GAAP EPS forecastsby 7-14%; but we trim our target price to US$288.0based on 13x FY27E EV/EBITDA (previous: US$320.0 based on 15x FY26EEV/EBITDA), given the decline in SaaS sector valuation. Maintain BUY on solidAI momentum and attractive valuation. Software & IT Services Saiyi HE, CFA(852) 3916 1739hesaiyi@cmbi.com.hk Wentao LU, CFAluwentao@cmbi.com.hk Ye TAO, CFA(852) 3850 5226franktao@cmbi.com.hk Healthy AOV growth to support 2HFY27growthreacceleration.cRPOgrew by 13% YoY in constant currency (CC),and subscription revenueroseby 12% YoY to US$10.6bn in CC in 1QFY27, mainly driven by the stronggrowth of AgentForce, Data 360, and Slack, butpartially offset by softnessin commerce andTableau. Revenue from Agentforce Apps/Data 360,Headless Platform,& Other was up by 9%/25% YoY respectively in1QFY27. For 2QFY27E,managementguidescRPO to maintain healthygrowth of 13% YoY in constant currency,and expects1HFY27 net new AOVgrowthto outpace AOV growth,which should drive organic revenuereacceleration in2HFY27E, underpinned by the continued momentum inAgentforce and Data 360 Shuyin GUO(852) 3916 3716guoshuyin@cmbi.com.hk SolidmomentumfromAgentForce and Data 360.AgentForceand Data360ARR increased by over 200% YoY to US$3.4bn in 1QFY27, withAgentForce ARR up by 205% YoY to US$1.2bn. AgentForce saw solid dealacquisitionand consumption growth in 1QFY27: 1) On consumption front,the companyhasprocessed over 28.6tn tokens to date, up by 152% QoQ;and over50% of Agentforce and Data 360 bookings came from existingcustomers in1QFY27; 2)Bookings from Agentforce One Edition andAgentforce for Apps,thepremium SKUs, grewby c.60%YoY; 3) Slackbecamethe go-to platform for enterprises to integrate agentic AIcapabilities, withSlackMCPsurpassing 1mnactive users within six weeksof launch. The company alsointroducedHeadless 360 in Apr 2026, whichallow agents/users to access Salesforce offerings on any user interfaces. AI driving margin expansion.Non-GAAP OPM improved by 2.5pptsYoYto 34.8% in 1QFY27, as Agentforce continues to improve internalefficiency.Agentforce has handled4mn customerinquiriessince its deploymentonhelp.salesforce.com15 months ago,and Agentforce Sales processed220,000salesleads autonomouslyandgeneratedUS$42mn in thepipelinein 1QFY27. Source: FactSet Business forecasts update and valuation Valuation We value Salesforce at US$288.0per share based on13x FY27E EV/EBITDA. Our targetEV/EBITDA ison par withthe sector average. Disclosures& Disclaimers AnalystCertificationThe research analyst who is primary responsible for the content of this research report, in whole or in part, certifies thatwith respect to the securities or issuer that the analyst covered in this report: (1) all of the views expressedaccurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject securities or issuer; and (2)no part of his or her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific views expressed by that analyst in this report.Besides, the analyst confirms that neither the analyst nor his/her associates (as defined in the code of conduct issued by The Hong KongSecurities and Futures Commission) (1) have dealt in or traded in the stock(s) covered in this research report within 30 calendardays prior to the date of issue of this report; (2) willdeal in or trade in the stock(s) covered in this research report 3 business days after the date of issue of this report; (3)serve as an officer of any of the HongKong listed companies covered in this report; and (4) have any financial interests in the Hong Kong listed companies covered in this report. CMBIGM RatingsBUY : Stock with potential return of over 15% over next 12 monthsHOLD: Stock with potential return of +15% to-10% overnext 12 monthsSELL: Stock with potential loss of over 10% over next 12 monthsNOT RATED: Stock is not rated byCMBIGM :Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over next 12 months:Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over next 12 months:Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over next 12 months Address: 45/