埃塞俄比亚咖啡年度报告

Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Report Name:Coffee Annual Country:EthiopiaPost:Addis AbabaReport Category:Coffee Prepared By:FAS Staff Approved By:Sarah Gilleski Report Highlights: Post forecasts Ethiopia's coffee production for MY 2026/27 at 12.10 million bags (60 kilograms each,green bean equivalent), based onimproved yields under normal weather conditions. Exports for thesame period are forecast at 7.13 million bags, supported by growing demand for Ethiopian Arabicabeans. MY 2025/26 constitutes an exceptional period for Ethiopia's coffee export sector, as record-high THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY PRODUCTON Post forecasts Ethiopia's total coffee production for marketing year (MY) 2026/27 (October-September)at 12.1 million bags (60 kilograms per bag, green bean equivalent), reflecting a4.7percent increasecompared to the previous season. Total harvested area isforecastat 800,000 hectares, up1.3percentfrom the estimated area for MY 2025/26. This growth is expected to be driven primarily by improvedyields as well as modest expansion in cultivated area. The forecast assumes favorable weather Reports by the Ethiopian Coffee and Tea Authority (ECTA) show that 5.9 million farmers are engagedin coffee production across the country. Smallholder farmers dominate Ethiopia'scoffee sector,accounting for 90 percent of total national production. These farmers typically cultivate coffee on small At the farmlevel, growing adoption of improved agronomic practices such as pruning and stumping ofaging trees, along with increased use of recommended extension packages including composting andsoil management techniques is supporting productivity gains. Farmers are also becoming more aware of According to industry sources, nearly 70 percent of Ethiopia's coffee trees are old, with some estimatedto be more than 100 years old. Following the launch of a national stumping campaign four years ago,ECTA reports that stumped trees have already begunproducing yields. According to ECTA, 15 percentof the total coffee harvested area in MY 2025/26 is covered by stumped coffee trees. Oromia regionrecorded the highest stumping rate at 19 percent of total harvested area, followed by South Ethiopia Ethiopia's coffee production is projected to continue to expand if favorable weather conditions exist, dueto several structural improvements in the sector. The continued stumping campaigns and planting of new seedlings will lead to revitalized smallholdercoffee farms, while the expansion of coffee farms coupledwith increased investments in farming and processing infrastructure is expected to enhance production The introduction of improved coffee cultivars and continued adoption of enhanced agronomic practicesincluding stumping will likely drive sustained yield improvements across both smallholder andcommercial farms. However, several factors may constrain production growth, including persistentlyelevated production costs including labor andinputs.Coffee producers and wet mills in the Sidamaregion reported that labor costs for fresh cherry picking have doubled from five birr to ten birr perkilogram, although prices differ across areas. Exporters also noted that inland transportation coststo Recent reports by the Ethiopian Agricultural Research Institute (EIAR) indicate that Ethiopia's nationalagricultural research systemsare introducing improved hybrid coffee seedlings and increasingly usingtissue culture techniques to multiply them. Researchers suggest that this approach scales up productionmore efficiently than traditional methods, delivering large numbers of healthy,uniform plants thatmaintain high-yield traits and can be quickly distributed to farmers. EIAR reports that over 50 improvedvarieties offering higher yields and stronger disease resistance have been distributed to coffee growers The Government of Ethiopia is interested in large-scale, modern coffee production and has allocated 100,000 hectares of land for private sector coffee development. This marks the first time the governmenthas allocated large tracts of land exclusively formodern coffee production.This planned expansion, ifmaterialized, represents a 70 percent increase in area compared to the country’s current 143,000 hectares Local officials describe the initiative as a strategic national project designed to transform Ethiopia'scoffee sector from its current reliance on traditional smallholder farming into a hybrid model thatcombines established practices with large-scale, technology-driven production. Reports from May 2026show that 110 private investors received new farmland for coffee cultivation.Planting on these newfarms has not yet begun, and authorities are urging the investors to quickly start developing the These new Ethiopian coffee farms will reportedly adopt mechanized land preparation, structuredplanting, improved varieties, modern machinery, smart irrigation systems,