每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:市场震荡或加大............................................................................................................................3国债期货:关注中美会谈对风偏影响............................................................................................................4 农产品 蛋白粕:供应整体充足盘面震荡运行..........................................................................................................5白糖:国际糖价大涨郑糖价格走强..............................................................................................................5油脂板块:震荡运行........................................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货企稳,盘面底部反弹...................................................................................................8生猪:出栏稳定为主价格整体震荡..............................................................................................................8花生:花生现货稳定,花生盘面底部震荡....................................................................................................9鸡蛋:需求表现尚可蛋价有所上涨..........................................................................................................10苹果:走货情况一般果价震荡偏弱..........................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:全球棉花产量下调棉花价格大趋势仍强...............................................................................12 黑色金属 钢材:焦炭提涨步入尾声,警惕回落风险..................................................................................................13双焦:震荡运行,可关注逢低做多机会......................................................................................................13铁矿:宏观和资金主导,上行空间有限......................................................................................................14铁合金:工信部节能监察,预计短期提振情绪..........................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:美PPI数据强势贵金属宏观承压..................................................................................................16铜:供应扰动不断,铜价继续上行..............................................................................................................17氧化铝:新投复产共同推进关注仓单压力................................................................................................17电解铝:沪铝随外盘上涨..............................................................................................................................18铸造铝合金:随铝价反弹..............................................................................................................................19锌:获利多单继续持有,可设置止损线保护利润......................................................................................20铅:再生铅冶炼成本上移铅价底部仍有支撑.............................................................................................20镍:镍价跟随硫磺价格运行..........................................................................................................................21 不锈钢:中枢抬升,高位运行......................................................................................................................22工业硅:利空逐渐释放,逢高布局空单......................................................................................................23多晶硅:二次探底,短空长多......................................................................................................................23碳酸锂:阶段性供需错配推高锂价..............................................................................................................24锡:锡价或高位震荡......................................................................................................................................25 航运及碳排放 集运:船司开启6月宣涨,中美会唔开启..................................................................................................26干散货运价:中小船市场依旧强势支撑BDI延续走强,关注中美会晤对于货运需求的影响...............27碳排放:中国碳价挂牌协议成交量回暖,欧盟增加下半年拍卖配额......................................................28 能源化工 原油:市场在中美元首会晤前保持观望......................................................................................................31沥青:成本波动加剧,供应持续受限..........................................................................................................32燃料油:燃油供应收缩,地缘波动风险加剧..............................................................................................32LPG:需求疲软vs成本支撑........................................................................................................................33天然气:高位宽幅震荡为主..........................................................................................................................34PX&PTA:震荡.................................................................................................................................................35BZ&EB:部分装置意外停车...........................................................................................................................36乙二醇:合成气制乙二醇负荷上升至高点..................................................................................................37短纤:库存偏高订单向上动能较弱.........................................................................................................