期货技术分析周报:2026年第19周 根据周度技术指标信号,贵金属板块白银看涨以及黄金震荡;有色板块锌、锡、铜等多个品种看涨,沪铝短期震荡、下周或震荡偏强。黑色板块热卷、铁矿石看涨,锰硅看跌,欧线集运震荡;螺纹钢中期偏强,短期超买存在回调风险,整体上涨空间仍存。能源板块原油、燃料油偏空,低硫燃料油、沥青等震荡;化工板块多数品种呈看跌态势。纸浆多空博弈激烈,空头占优,短期震荡为主,存在小幅上修机会。农产品板块生猪看涨,豆类、玉米、棉花等多数品种看跌;玉米本周价格回落,技术指标偏弱,但底部形态支撑回调空间有限,短期以震荡为主。整体各品种走势分化,注意仓位管理。 联系人 宋静产业咨询分析师从业资格号:F03130547Tel:8621-63325888Email:jing.song@orientfutures.com ★金融期货技术分析 根据周度技术指标信号,股指期货整体偏强,国债期货以震荡为主。股指方面,中证500、沪深300、中证1000呈看涨信号,上证50维持震荡。中证500长短期技术指标多头格局明确,价格依托均线运行,短期仍存上涨动力。沪深300中期看涨,但指标处于超买区间,短期震荡波动概率较大,需警惕回调风险。国债期货各期限品种均呈震荡走势,十年期国债期货多空博弈激烈,超买情绪消退下存在回调压力,下行空间有限。三十年期国债期货整体震荡,短期或有小幅反弹。整体品种波动分化,注意仓位管理。 ★风险提示: 流动性风险,趋势假反转风险,供应超预期,需求超预期,宏观风险超预期。 目录 1、有色及贵金属板块.................................................................................................................................................................................42、黑色及航运板块.....................................................................................................................................................................................73、能源及化工板块...................................................................................................................................................................................104、农产品板块............................................................................................................................................................................................135、股指期货板块........................................................................................................................................................................................166、国债期货板块........................................................................................................................................................................................207、风险提示.................................................................................................................................................................................................24 图表目录 图表1:有色及贵金属板块周度技术指标信号汇总(5月8日更新)......................................................................................4图表2:沪铝主力连续合约周度K线..................................................................................................................................................5图表3:沪铝主力连续合约日度K线..................................................................................................................................................6图表4:有色板块主连周度斐波那契枢轴测算(5月8日更新)...............................................................................................6图表5:黑色及航运板块周度技术信号汇总(5月8日更新)...................................................................................................7图表6:螺纹钢主力连续合约周度K线.............................................................................................................................................8图表7:螺纹钢主力连续合约日度K线.............................................................................................................................................9图表8:黑色板块主连周度斐波那契枢轴测算(5月8日更新)...............................................................................................9图表9:能源及化工板块周度技术指标信号汇总(4月30日更新)......................................................................................10图表10:纸浆主力连续合约周度K线..............................................................................................................................................11图表11:纸浆主力连续合约日度K线..............................................................................................................................................12图表12:能源及化工板块主连周度斐波那契枢轴测算(5月8日更新).............................................................................12图表13:农产品板块周度技术指标信号汇总(5月8日更新)...............................................................................................13图表14:玉米主力连续合约周度K线..............................................................................................................................................14图表15:玉米主力连续合约日度K线..............................................................................................................................................15图表16:农产品板块主连斐波那契枢轴测算(5月8日更新)...............................................................................................15图表17:股指期货板块周度技术指标信号汇总(5月8日更新)...........................................................................................16图表18:中证500期货主力连续合约周度K线............................................................................................................................17图表19:中证500期货主力连续合约日度K线............................................................................................................................17图表20:沪深300期货主力连续合约周度K线............................................................................................................................18图表21:沪深300期货主力连续合约日度K线............................................................................................................................19图表22: