Viksit Bharat和净零的情景：宏观经济影响（第2卷）

MACROECONOMICIMPLICATIONSSOCIAL IMPLICATIONSOF TRANSITION VOL. 2 Copyright © NITI Aayog, 2026 NITI AayogGovernment of India,Sansad Marg, New Delhi–110001, India Suggested Citation NITI Aayog. (2026). Scenarios Towards Viksit Bharat and Net Zero:Macroeconomic Implications (Vol. 2). Available at:https://niti.gov.in/publications/division-reports Disclaimer 1.This document is not a statement of policy by the National Institution for Transforming India(hereinafter referred to as NITI Aayog). It has been prepared by the Green Transition, Energy,Climate, and Environment Division of NITI Aayog under various Inter-Ministerial Working Groups(IMWGs) constituted to develop Net Zero pathways for India.2.Unless otherwise stated, NITI Aayog, in this regard, has not made any representation or warranty,express or implied, as to the completeness or reliability of the information, data, findings, ormethodology presented in this document. While due care has been taken by the author(s) in thepreparation of this publication, the content is based on independently procured information andanalysis available at the time of writing and may not reflect the most current policy developmentsor datasets.3.The assertions, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this report are those of the author(s)and do not necessarily reflect the views of NITI Aayog or the Government of India, unless otherwisementioned. As such, NITI Aayog does not endorse or validate any of the specific views or policysuggestions made herein by the author(s).4.NITI Aayog shall not be liable under any circumstances, in law or equity, for any loss, damage,liability, or expense incurred or suffered as a result of the use of or reliance upon the contents ofthis document. Any reference to specific organisations, products, services, or data sources does notconstitute or imply an endorsement by NITI Aayog. Readers are encouraged to independently verifythe data and conduct their analysis before forming conclusions or taking any policy, academic, orcommercial decisions. SCENARIOS TOWARDS VIKSIT BHARATAND NET ZEROMACROECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS (VOL. 2) Authors andAcknowledgement Dr. Mei Mei LamEconomist, World BankDr. Sanjib PohitProfessor, NCAER Chairperson Dr. Arvind VirmaniMember, NITI Aayog Leadership B. Energy ModelingDr. Anjali JainConsultant G-II, NITI AayogMr. Nitin BajpaiConsultant, NITI Aayog Sh. Suman BeryVice Chairman, NITI AayogSh. B.V.R. SubrahmanyamCEO, NITI AayogDr. V. Anantha NageswaranChief Economic Advisor, Govt. of IndiaDr. Anshu BharadwajProgramme Director, Green Transition,Energy & Climate Change Division,NITI Aayog Authors NITI Aayog Mr. Venugopal MothkoorEnergy and Climate Modelling Specialist,NITI AayogMs. Divya MidhaConsultant, NITI Aayog Core Modelling Team A. Macro-economic ModelingMr. Venugopal MothkoorEnergy and Climate Modelling Specialist,NITI AayogDr. Stephane HallegatteChief Climate Economist, World BankDr. Lulit Mitik BeyeneSenior Economist, World Bank World Bank Dr. Stephane HallegatteChief Climate Economist, World BankDr Lulit Mitik BeyeneSenior Economist, World BankDr Mei Mei LamEconomist, World Bank WRI Ms. Ritika BansalDeputy Director, Climate Change & FinanceUnit, DEA Ms. Ulka KelkarExecutive Director, WRI Mr. Shard SapraScientist-F, MoEF&CC Mr. Subrata ChakrabartyAssociate Director, WRI Ms. Shweta KumarDirector, MoEF&CC Mr. Varun AgarwalProgram Manager, WRI Dr. Steven PenningsSenior Economist, World Bank Mr. Devadathan BijuProgram Associate, WRI Mr. Aurélien KruseLead Country Economist, India NCAER Dr. Sanjib PohitProfessor, NCAERDr. Suvajit BanerjeeFellow, NCAERMr. Devender PratapSenior Fellow, NCAERDr. Chetana ChaudhuriFellow, NCAER Working Group Coordinators Dr. Ritu MathurSenior Fellow and Director, TERI Mr. Venugopal MothkoorEnergy and Climate Modelling Specialist,NITI Aayog Ms. Divya MidhaConsultant, NITI Aayog Peer Reviewers Ms. Srishti DewanYP, NITI Aayog Dr. V. Anantha NageswaranChief Economic Advisor, Govt of India Mr. Kanishk JainFormer YP, NITI Aayog Ms. Chandni RainaAdvisor, Climate Change & Finance Unit,DEA Working Group Members Ms. Aditi PathakJoint Director, Climate Change & FinanceUnit, DEA Sh. Ajay SethFormerSecretary,DEA,Govt of India;Chairperson, IRDAIDr. V. Anantha NageswaranChief Economic Advisor, Govt of India Ms. Gurvinder KaurJoint Director, Climate Change & FinanceUnit, DEA Sh. Sudeep JainFormer Additional Secretary, MNRE Mr. R.R. RashmiDistinguished Fellow, TERI Ms. Chandni RainaAdvisor (CCFU), Dept of Economic Affairs,Govt of India Dr Amrita GoldarSenior Fellow, ICRIER Dr. Purnamita DasguptaProfessor, IEG Sh. Nilesh SahJoint Secretary, MoEF&CC Ms. Ulka KelkarExecutive Director, WRI Mr. D.K.OjhaDDG, MoPNG Ms. Rekha MisraAdvisor(Dept of Economic and PolicyResearch), RBI Dr. Janak RajSenior Fellow, CSEP Mr. Karam ChandDirector, MoPower Mr. Rajat GuptaSenior Partner, Mc Kinsey Dr. Shikha AnandDirector, MoLabour & Employment Dr. Amit GargProfessor,