苏格兰的长期基础设施-执行摘要

Infrastructure systems share a central characteristic –they comprise assets that are expensive, take a longtime to plan and deliver, and last for decades. Eachdecision that is made in every infrastructure systemcan therefore have a generational impact. It is vitalthat those who influence and make the larger national Scotland’s Infrastructure– drawing togethera baseline understanding of Scotland’s maininfrastructure sectors in one place – to be built on andact as a reference source to improve cross sectoralunderstanding. With sector stakeholders, we have Cross Cutting Themes– outlining the six themes ofnature positive, prioritising place, data and technology,asset and climate resilience, demand dynamics andenergy transition, which will support improved systemthinking across infrastructure sectors. We see them This 30-Year infrastructure Needs Assessment – thefirst of its kind for Scotland – is intended to counterthose short-term pressures. It offers a set of toolsfor strategic infrastructure planning and investment Foreword Infrastructure is the backbone of oureconomy, society, and environment.Economic infrastructure connectspeople and businesses; socialinfrastructure underpins essential Enabling Success– highlighting a series of insightsfrom the Scottish Futures Trust (SFT), as a centre ofinfrastructure expertise, pointing to areas of focusand development around the infrastructure lifecyclefrom strategy and investment, through delivery to the Drivers of Change–highlighting the five major trendsof economic priorities, climate change, global security,public service reform and demographics, that will driveinfrastructure development over the next 30 years.Planning and decision making at all levels and across all Scotland’s infrastructure is a complexset of interconnected systems whichneed to work seamlessly together to I would like to express my gratitude to the talentedteam at the Scottish Futures Trust and the manystakeholders who contributed to shaping this NeedsAssessment. Your contributions have been critical inshaping what remains SFT’s independent work. We will This Needs Assessment builds on the work of the Infrastructure Commission for Scotland. We intendit to be a staging point for further development anddiscussion, providing strategic insights to inform policy,improve practice, and guide investment. With supportand further engagement from stakeholders we can gofurther. The drivers and cross-cutting themes could bedeveloped into a transparent investment prioritisationframework, enhancing current approaches and building Peter ReekieChief Executive, Scottish Futures Trust 01Executive Long-term infrastructure for Scotland Executive summary The goal of this Needs Assessment is to improve outcomes for Scotland with a 30-year viewof key drivers, themes and approaches that can inform infrastructure decision making with a Infrastructure plays a critical role inScotland’s daily life and long-termambitions, underpinning essentialpublic services, economic growth,societal wellbeing, and environmentalresilience. This Needs Assessment, It adopts Scotland’s broad definition of infrastructure,encompassing economic, social, and natural assets, guide produced independently by Scottish FuturesTrust and we intend that future iterations will build Through futures thinking including scenariomodelling, sectoral reviews and system thinking,this assessment highlights key drivers of changeand interdependencies across Scotland’s Figure 1 sets out the structure of the document andin this section we summarise: •The key drivers of change - major trends thatwill impact infrastructure decisions over the next Through the following sections we outline ourapproach to preparing this Needs Assessmentand summarise our findings, concluding with anarrative on how to build upon good practiceto deliver infrastructure effectively. Our analysis •Our analysis of Scotland's main infrastructuresectors including their opportunities, challengesand potential development path over thenext generation.•Cross-cutting themes which will tieinfrastructures together and form an agenda forimproved collaboration.•Insights from Scottish Futures Trust on key areasof focus around the infrastructure lifecycle, toenable success. This Needs Assessment aligns with Scotland’srevised infrastructure investment frameworkto inform Scottish Government’s draft 10-yearInfrastructure Strategy (2026/27–2036/37). It provides guidance for policymakers, investors,and stakeholders, encouraging a systemic approachto infrastructure planning that supports Scotland’s We draw these together into high-level messagesfor policy makers and asset owners at the end of Key drivers of change Five major trends will shape Scotland's infrastructure needs over the next 30 years. Every infrastructure strategy, asset management planand investment decision should both be shaped by these drivers, and bring an opportunity to influence them: Demographics Global security S