海上风电目标支撑2030年及更长远未来的加速发展

With 27 national targets now in place, offshore wind is on track to triplecapacity by 2030 — laying the foundation for the next decade of growth. Published date: 30 October 2025Lead author: Dave Jones; Edited by: Amisha PatelPeer reviewed by: Feng Zhao, Simon Benmarraze, Dan Kyle Spearman About At the request of the Global Offshore Wind Alliance (GOWA), Ember has developed anauthoritative and up-to-date overview of offshore wind targets worldwide, encompassingnational, regional and provincial commitments. This analysis provides a comprehensive pictureof current ambitions and progress toward deployment, serving as a key input ahead of COP30. Bytracking targets and assessing implementation trends, the report aims to encouragegovernments to set or strengthen their offshore wind ambitions and accelerate action to stay ontrack with global energy and climate goals. Summary Clear and ambitious offshore wind targets are the cornerstone of progress —providing the market visibility, investor confidence and policy certainty needed toaccelerate deployment at scale. Targets are more than political statements;they are powerful economic instruments that signal long-term commitment andunlock investment. This report provides a comprehensive overview of offshore wind targetsworldwide, covering national, subnational and regional commitments, andshowing that governments remain broadly committed to offshore wind, despiterecent challenges. Key findings: ●A total of 27 countries have set national targets for offshore wind. Inaddition, there are 27 subnational targets, including 3 in countries that donot yet have a national target. There are also three regional targets.Among the 27 countries with national targets, 22 have a national target for2030, 18 have a post-2030 target and 7 include specific floating offshorewind targets. ●Offshore wind deployment is about to surge, even though manycountries are likely to fall short of 2030 targets. The Global Wind EnergyCouncil (GWEC) projects that offshore wind capacity will almost triplebetween 2024 and 2030, increasing from 83 GW to 238 GW. Despite thisrapid growth, many countries are expected to miss their 2030 targets, withsome shifting timelines into the early 2030s. These shortfalls reflect the challenge of meeting ambitious targets that initially helped to driveinvestment and market growth. Over the past year, momentum hasslowed, with GWEC reducing its 2030 global outlook by 25% compared withlast year. ●A further 88 countries have offshore wind potential, with 11 activelydeveloping plans. In 2019, the World Bank assessed the offshore windpotential of 115 countries, of which 27 now have national targets. Amongstthe remaining 88 countries, 9 are members of the Global Offshore WindAlliance (GOWA) - Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Malta, Panama, PapuaNew Guinea, Saint Lucia, Trinidad and Tobago. In 2025, the US government sought to halt offshore wind development by issuingstop-orders against Equinor’s Empire Wind and Orsted’s Revolution Windprojects, both under offshore construction. The orders were later reversed,allowing both projects to resume. Around 5.8 GW of offshore wind is still expectedto be built in the US between 2025 to 2029, based on the five projects currentlyunder construction. The impact of US actions on the rest of the world has so farbeen limited, with Canada most recently advancing its first offshore windauction in Nova Scotia. In The People’s Republic of China, provincial governments are in the process ofsetting their 2030 targets. Several other countries are now looking beyond 2030as they announce their 2035 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). At a time when the industry is facing cost inflation, supply chain pressures andpermitting delays, credible targets offer stability and direction. They anchoroffshore wind within national energy strategies, guide infrastructure andworkforce planning and demonstrate that governments remain committed todelivery despite short-term challenges. Without clear targets, investment slows,supply chains lose momentum and countries risk falling behind in the globalrace towards clean, secure and affordable energy. Aligning targets with timely policy reform and collective action acrossgovernment and industry will be critical to translating ambition into delivery —ensuring offshore wind fulfils its promise as a pillar of energy security, industrialgrowth and national resilience. As the world moves rapidly towards an electrified future, now is the moment forgovernments to reaffirm and raise their offshore wind ambitions. “Offshore wind already delivers 83 GW of energy capacity across theworld, enough to power 73 million homes. Government targets havebeen fundamental to help drive the scale-up of the offshore windindustry this decade. To countries thinking about agreeing newtargets or extending existing targets, the message is clear: now is thetime to act, to help spur the next wave of growth.” Dave Jones Chief Ana