每 日早 盘 观 察 每日早盘观察 目录 金融衍生品 股指期货:有望再试新高................................................................................................................................3国债期货:短期债市或偏震荡........................................................................................................................4 农产品 豆粕:利多体现明显盘面逐步回落..............................................................................................................5白糖:国际糖价大趋势走弱国内糖价震荡偏弱..........................................................................................5油脂板块:震荡磨底阶段................................................................................................................................7玉米/玉米淀粉:现货稳定,盘面窄幅震荡...................................................................................................8生猪:出栏压力继续体现价格维持低位......................................................................................................8花生:花生现货继续反弹,花生短期底部震荡............................................................................................9鸡蛋:淘鸡有所增加蛋价有所企稳............................................................................................................10苹果:入库数据公布市场波动加大............................................................................................................11棉花-棉纱:收购进入高峰棉价震荡略偏强...............................................................................................11 黑色金属 钢材:铁水产量收缩,钢价区间震荡..........................................................................................................13双焦:高位震荡等待新的驱动....................................................................................................................13铁矿:偏空思路对待......................................................................................................................................14铁合金:估值偏低水平,前期空单减持......................................................................................................15 有色金属 贵金属:多空因素交织,贵金属延续区间整理..........................................................................................16铜:消费不足限制价格..................................................................................................................................17氧化铝:供应端减产仍未落地氧化铝震荡磨底.........................................................................................18电解铝:海外供应担忧仍在铝价维持偏强.................................................................................................19铸造铝合金:海外宏观情绪反复铝合金随铝价偏强震荡.........................................................................19锌:关注出口量级..........................................................................................................................................20 铅:空单持有..................................................................................................................................................21镍:供需宽松,成本支撑松动,镍价弱势震荡..........................................................................................22不锈钢:供需偏弱较难给出不锈钢生产利润..............................................................................................23工业硅:区间震荡,逢低买入......................................................................................................................23多晶硅:短期偏弱,回调充分后买入..........................................................................................................24碳酸锂:复产推进,价格承压......................................................................................................................24锡:锡价震荡运行..........................................................................................................................................25 航运板块 集运:11月下半月船司拉涨动力减弱,盘面受到压制...........................................................................27 能源化工 原油:经济前景存忧,油价弱势震荡..........................................................................................................29沥青:弱现实弱预期,沥青价格承压..........................................................................................................30燃料油:高硫供应压力继续增长..................................................................................................................30PX&PTA:检修增加需求尚可.......................................................................................................................32乙二醇:四季度供需走向宽松......................................................................................................................33短纤:需求支撑有限,跟随成本端上涨......................................................................................................33PR(瓶片):需求由旺季向淡季过渡.............................................................................................................34纯苯苯乙烯:短期价格震荡..........................................................................................................................35丙烯:供应压力仍在,价格下行..................................................................................................................36塑料PP:PE&PP环、同比增产...............................................................................................................