2025年可再生能源：分析与预测至2030年

Analysis and forecaststo 2030 INTERNATIONAL ENERGYAGENCY The IEA examines the fullspectrumof energy issuesincluding oil, gas andcoal supply anddemand, renewableenergy technologies,electricity markets,energy efficiency,access to energy,demand sidemanagement and muchmore. Through its work,the IEA advocatespolicies that will enhancethe reliability,affordability andsustainability of energyin its32Member countries,13Association countriesand beyond. IEAMembercountries: IEAAssociationcountries: AustraliaAustriaBelgiumCanadaCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyJapanKoreaLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNew ZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSlovak RepublicSpainSwedenSwitzerlandRepublic of TürkiyeUnited KingdomUnited States ArgentinaBrazilChinaEgyptIndiaIndonesiaKenyaMoroccoSenegalSingaporeSouth AfricaThailandUkraine This publication and any mapincluded herein are withoutprejudice to the status of orsovereignty over any territory,to the delimitation ofinternational frontiers andboundaries and to the nameof any territory, city or area. The EuropeanCommission alsoparticipates in thework of the IEA Source: IEA.International Energy AgencyWebsite: www.iea.org Abstract Renewables 2025 is the IEA's main annual report on the sector. It presents thelatest forecasts and analysis, based on recent policy and market developments,while also exploring key challenges and opportunities facing the sector. This year’s edition provides forecasts for the deployment of renewable energytechnologies in electricity, transport and heat through 2030. It also examinesnotable developments in key areas of the sector, including policy changes,manufacturing trends, and the financial health of different parts of the industry. Acknowledgements, contributorsand credits This study was prepared by the Renewable Energy Division in the Directorate ofEnergy Markets and Security. It was designed and directed by Heymi Bahar, LeadAuthor and Senior Analyst. The report benefited from analysis, drafting and input from multiple colleagues.The lead authors of the report were, Yasmina Abdelilah, Ana Alcalde Báscones,Vasilios Anatolitis-Pelka, Heymi Bahar, Marcus Bockhold, Piotr Bojek, FrançoisBriens, Trevor Criswell, Martina Lyons, Jeremy Moorhouse, Hunor Papolczi, andLaura Marí Martínez, who was also responsible for data management. PaoloFrankl,Head of the Renewable Energy Division,provided strategicguidance and input to this work. Valuable comments, feedback and guidance wereprovided by other senior management and numerous other colleagues within theIEA, in particular, Keisuke Sadamori, Laura Cozzi, Tim Gould, Timur Gül, DennisHesseling and Pablo Hevia-Koch. Other IEA colleagues who have made important contributions to this work include: YasmineArsalane,Elisa Asmelash,Jose Bermudez Menendez,StéphanieBouckaert, Eric Buisson, Eren Cam, Elif Cerezci, Elizabeth Connelly, DavideD’Ambrosio, Amrita Dasgupta, Chiara Delmastro, Araceli Fernandez Pales, IlkkaHannula, Ciarán Healy, Tae Yoon Kim, Andrew Klain, Martin Kueppers, AkosLosz, Rafael Martinez Gordon, Gergely Molnar, Apostolos Petropoulos, IsaacPortugal, Uwe Remme, Richard Simon, Brent Wanner and Peter Zeniewski. Timely data from the IEA Energy Data Centre were fundamental to the report, withparticularassistance provided by Luca Lorenzoni,Taylor Morrison,NickJohnstone, Roberta Quadrelli, and Zuzana Dobrotkova. This work benefited from extensive review and comments from the IEA StandingGroupon Long-Term Co-operation,IEA Renewable Energy Working Party,members of the Renewable Industry Advisory Board (RIAB) and experts fromIEA partner countries and other international institutions. The work also benefitedfrom feedback by the IEA Committee on Energy Research and Technology,IEA Technology Collaboration Programmes (IEA TCPs). Many experts from outside of the IEA provided valuable input, commented andreviewed this report. They include: Countries Australia(Permanent Representation to OECD),Colombia(PermanentRepresentation to OECD), European Union (European Commission – DG Energy,DG Research and Innovation), Germany (Federal Ministry for Economic Affairsand Climate Action of Germany), Indonesia (Secretariat of DG NREEC, MEMRIndonesia) Japan (Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry – METI), New Zealand(PermanentRepresentation to OECD),Spain(Ministry for the EcologicalTransition and Demographic Challenge, Institute for Energy Diversification andEnergy Saving – IDAE), Switzerland (Federal Energy Office), the United States ofAmerica (Department of Agriculture, Energy Information Administration, and theUnited Kingdom (Department for Energy Security and Net Zero). Technology Collaboration Programmes (TCPs) Photovoltaic Power Systems (PVPS) TCP, Solar Heating and Cooling (SHC) TCP Other Organisations American Clean Power Association, Bioenergy Europe, BP, Enel, EuropeanBiogas Association (EBA), Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW),Climate Ethanol Alliance,