您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [东证期货]:商务部9月将出台扩大服务消费的若干政策 - 发现报告

商务部9月将出台扩大服务消费的若干政策

2025-08-28 许惠敏 东证期货 浮云
报告封面

2025-08-28 宏观策略(股指期货) 商务部:9月将出台扩大服务消费的若干政策 7月工企利润增速跌幅收窄,拆分来看,量小幅回落,价格因素持平,利润率跌幅修复较明显,但反内卷政策效果仍有待观察。 宏观策略(美国股指期货) 英伟达财报数据中心收入逊色,指引不够亮眼 美联储官员再度释放降息预期,英伟达财报稍显疲弱,美股盘后小幅回调。 宏观策略(国债期货) 1-7月份全国规模以上工业企业利润增速同比下降1.7% 除非股市持续调整或是央行货币政策超预期转松,否则国债依然缺乏持续上涨机会。单边裸多仍需谨慎。 农产品(豆粕) 9月国内油厂进口大豆船期及10-11月到港预报 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 中美关系影响未来美豆出口前景,也影响未来我国进口大豆供应,目前仍是影响期价走势的最重要不确定因素。国内进口大豆到港充裕,但钢联预计10月进口大豆量将有所下滑。 黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭) 西南市场炼焦煤暂稳 盘面短期仍有调整压力,但需求高位稳定,因此调整后下方支撑较强。 有色金属(锌) 8月26日【LME0-3锌】贴水4.61美元/吨 短期情绪明显走弱,但难言宏观已就此转势,海外低库存风险依旧较大,内盘情绪或跟随股市仍有反复,绝对价格关注下方整数关口支撑。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(股指期货)....................................................................................................................................................51.4、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................62.3、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................72.4、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................72.5、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................82.6、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................92.7、农产品(玉米)................................................................................................................................................................92.8、农产品(生猪)................................................................................................................................................................92.9、黑色金属(动力煤)......................................................................................................................................................102.10、黑色金属(铁矿石)....................................................................................................................................................102.11、农产品(红枣)............................................................................................................................................................102.12、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................112.13、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................112.14、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................122.15、有色金属(铜)............................................................................................................................................................132.16、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................142.17、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................142.18、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................152.20、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................15 2.21、能源化工(苯乙烯).............................................................................................................